人口与经济
人口與經濟
인구여경제
Population & Economics
2013年
1期
3~9
,共null页
生育率下降 劳动力素质 经济发展模式转型
生育率下降 勞動力素質 經濟髮展模式轉型
생육솔하강 노동력소질 경제발전모식전형
fertility decline; quality of labor; transformation of economic development model
本文通过对比我国与亚洲其他国家和地区的发展状况,认为在"人口红利"后期,我国以劳动密集型模式为主的经济发展与生育率降低、劳动者素质上升的社会现实相脱节,导致了我国"民工荒"与大学生"就业难"并存的矛盾现象。随着生育率下降,我国年轻劳动力比例逐渐下降,同时我国教育事业的发展使年轻劳动力中从事脑力劳动的人数快速增加,而使得从事体力劳动的人数相对短缺;然而劳动密集型企业在我国依然占大多数,他们对年轻体力劳动者需求量大而对年轻脑力劳动者需求量小,这就造成了"民工荒"与大学生"就业难"并存的局面,解决这一问题的关键在于早日实现我国经济发展模式的转型。
本文通過對比我國與亞洲其他國傢和地區的髮展狀況,認為在"人口紅利"後期,我國以勞動密集型模式為主的經濟髮展與生育率降低、勞動者素質上升的社會現實相脫節,導緻瞭我國"民工荒"與大學生"就業難"併存的矛盾現象。隨著生育率下降,我國年輕勞動力比例逐漸下降,同時我國教育事業的髮展使年輕勞動力中從事腦力勞動的人數快速增加,而使得從事體力勞動的人數相對短缺;然而勞動密集型企業在我國依然佔大多數,他們對年輕體力勞動者需求量大而對年輕腦力勞動者需求量小,這就造成瞭"民工荒"與大學生"就業難"併存的跼麵,解決這一問題的關鍵在于早日實現我國經濟髮展模式的轉型。
본문통과대비아국여아주기타국가화지구적발전상황,인위재"인구홍리"후기,아국이노동밀집형모식위주적경제발전여생육솔강저、노동자소질상승적사회현실상탈절,도치료아국"민공황"여대학생"취업난"병존적모순현상。수착생육솔하강,아국년경노동력비례축점하강,동시아국교육사업적발전사년경노동력중종사뇌력노동적인수쾌속증가,이사득종사체력노동적인수상대단결;연이노동밀집형기업재아국의연점대다수,타문대년경체력노동자수구량대이대년경뇌력노동자수구량소,저취조성료"민공황"여대학생"취업난"병존적국면,해결저일문제적관건재우조일실현아국경제발전모식적전형。
By comparing the social and economic status between China and other Asian countries and districts,this paper suggests that the cause of the shortage of migrant workers and the tough job martket for college graduates in China is the disagreement between the economic development model and fertility decline,and the improvement of labor quality.With the decline of fertility,the working-age population has been aging and the proportion of young labors has been declining.Besides,the devleopment of the college education has given rise to even fewer young blue-collar workers.Nevertheless,the laobr-intensive enterprises,which still account for the most in China,still prefer the young labors.This contradiction leads to the shortage of migrant workers and the tough job martket for college graduates in China.The transfortmation of economic development model in China is the key to this problem.