CAJ | 학술논문

文章借助各省区人口老龄化的演变过程及其与本地区经济的发展相关程度变化，来判别中国是否出现“未富先老”、“城乡倒置”或“人口红利”消失阻滞经济发展以及区域差异化演变等问题。通过一系列的数据分析发现：（1）中国各省区的人口老龄化演变阶段差异很大，但基本没有出现“未富先老”，人口老龄化并没有妨碍经济发展，这既与经济转型、开放经济等有关，也符合全球人口老龄化演化的一般规律；（2）勾画中国各省区人口老龄化演变特征，可将其划分成四类不同的人口老龄化类型，其演变历程的地域推移与地域集聚现象十分明显。就目前的演变过程来看，中国人口老龄化与地区经济发展有明显相关性，经济发展成为中国人口老龄化的重要推动因素之一。
문장차조각성구인구노령화적연변과정급기여본지구경제적발전상관정도변화，래판별중국시부출현“미부선로”、“성향도치”혹“인구홍리”소실조체경제발전이급구역차이화연변등문제。통과일계렬적수거분석발현：（1）중국각성구적인구노령화연변계단차이흔대，단기본몰유출현“미부선로”，인구노령화병몰유방애경제발전，저기여경제전형、개방경제등유관，야부합전구인구노령화연화적일반규률；（2）구화중국각성구인구노령화연변특정，가장기화분성사류불동적인구노령화류형，기연변역정적지역추이여지역집취현상십분명현。취목전적연변과정래간，중국인구노령화여지구경제발전유명현상관성，경제발전성위중국인구노령화적중요추동인소지일。
AbslTact： This paper examines regional differences and changing regional patterns of population ageing in China and their relationship with regional economic development. Results suggest that stages of regional population aging are very different across China, ＂ getting old before getting rich＂ has not been observed, and population aging has not impeded economic growth. This is related to economic transition and open economy, and is also in line with the general laws of the worlds population aging experiences. This paper also outlines evolutions of China＇s population aging across provinces and divides them into three different types of population aging, with apparent regional diffusion and geo- graphical agglomeration. Population aging in China has a significant correlation with regional economic development. Economic development has increasingly become an important force driving population ageing.