系统工程理论与实践
繫統工程理論與實踐
계통공정이론여실천
Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice
2013年
1期
125~133
,共null页
谢锐 赖明勇 李董辉 王腊芳
謝銳 賴明勇 李董輝 王臘芳
사예 뢰명용 리동휘 왕석방
国内技术含量 动态变迁 东亚四国 投入产出模型
國內技術含量 動態變遷 東亞四國 投入產齣模型
국내기술함량 동태변천 동아사국 투입산출모형
the domestic technological contents; dynamic evolution; East Asian four countries; inputwoutput model
改进计算出口品的国内技术含量的基础模型,利用投入产出表和STTCREV.2三位码水平上的出口贸易等数据,测算了中国、日本、韩国和印度尼西亚等东亚经济体若干年份出口品的全部技术含量、国内技术含量和国内技术含量指数.结果表明:从20世纪90年代中期开始,中国出口品的国内技术含量呈阶段性上升趋势;加入WTO对我国出口品的国内技术含量的短期影响大于长期影响;虽然日本是东亚地区国内技术含量最高的国家,但近年来呈下降趋势;韩国出口品的国内技术含量稳步提高且向日本收敛,而印度尼西亚在提升出口品的国内技术含量方面业绩较差.最后,结合中国以及其它东亚三国出口品的国内技术含量的变迁趋势,提出了中国进一步推进对外开放和参与东亚区域经济一体化的一些政策建议.
改進計算齣口品的國內技術含量的基礎模型,利用投入產齣錶和STTCREV.2三位碼水平上的齣口貿易等數據,測算瞭中國、日本、韓國和印度尼西亞等東亞經濟體若榦年份齣口品的全部技術含量、國內技術含量和國內技術含量指數.結果錶明:從20世紀90年代中期開始,中國齣口品的國內技術含量呈階段性上升趨勢;加入WTO對我國齣口品的國內技術含量的短期影響大于長期影響;雖然日本是東亞地區國內技術含量最高的國傢,但近年來呈下降趨勢;韓國齣口品的國內技術含量穩步提高且嚮日本收斂,而印度尼西亞在提升齣口品的國內技術含量方麵業績較差.最後,結閤中國以及其它東亞三國齣口品的國內技術含量的變遷趨勢,提齣瞭中國進一步推進對外開放和參與東亞區域經濟一體化的一些政策建議.
개진계산출구품적국내기술함량적기출모형,이용투입산출표화STTCREV.2삼위마수평상적출구무역등수거,측산료중국、일본、한국화인도니서아등동아경제체약간년빈출구품적전부기술함량、국내기술함량화국내기술함량지수.결과표명:종20세기90년대중기개시,중국출구품적국내기술함량정계단성상승추세;가입WTO대아국출구품적국내기술함량적단기영향대우장기영향;수연일본시동아지구국내기술함량최고적국가,단근년래정하강추세;한국출구품적국내기술함량은보제고차향일본수렴,이인도니서아재제승출구품적국내기술함량방면업적교차.최후,결합중국이급기타동아삼국출구품적국내기술함량적변천추세,제출료중국진일보추진대외개방화삼여동아구역경제일체화적일사정책건의.
This paper has improved the basic method to measure the domestic technological contents of export products. By using data in the input-output table and the export trade data on the SITC REV.2 level, it counts the whole technological contents, the domestic technological contents and the index of the domestic technological contents of export products in several years of East Asian economic bodies like China, Japan, Korea and Indonesia. The result shows that China's export products' domestic technologi- cal content is going through an upward trend since middle 90s, 20th century. Also, the short term impact of China's entrance into WTO on China's export products' domestic technological contents is greater than long term impact. Though Japan ranks the top in East Asian on domestic technological contents, its down- ward trend is obvious in recent years. The Korea's export products' domestic technological contents raises greatly and convergence to 3apan. Indonesia failed in improving its export products' domestic technological contents. Finally, in combination of the evolution trend of export products' domestic technological contents in China and other three East Asian countries, the article proposed some relevant policy recommendations under the background of further opening up and involving in regional economic integration in East Asia.