系统工程理论与实践
繫統工程理論與實踐
계통공정이론여실천
Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice
2013年
1期
167~174
,共null页
卢晓珊 黄海军 刘天亮 邓齐
盧曉珊 黃海軍 劉天亮 鄧齊
로효산 황해군 류천량 산제
方式选择 价格竞争 分层Logit模型 瓶颈模型 出行链
方式選擇 價格競爭 分層Logit模型 瓶頸模型 齣行鏈
방식선택 개격경쟁 분층Logit모형 병경모형 출행련
mode choice; price competition; hierarchical Logit model; bottleneck model; trip chain
考虑从生活区与工作区之间的早晚高峰出行链,研究三种出行方式:地铁直达,停车换乘和全程驾车.基于瓶颈理论,建立了分层Logit模型刻画出行者的交通方式决策行为,利用弹性需求下的出行方式选择均衡等式,进一步讨论了四种机制下的地铁票价和停车收费策略.研究结果表明,地铁和换乘停车场由政府经营,采用低票价的政策吸弓l出行者,而工作区停车场由公司经营,实行高停车费的政策,不仅能有效鼓励停车换乘,提高公交出行分担率,并且能实现系统净收益最大.算例结果从理论上支持了当前北京施行的差别化停车收费政策.
攷慮從生活區與工作區之間的早晚高峰齣行鏈,研究三種齣行方式:地鐵直達,停車換乘和全程駕車.基于瓶頸理論,建立瞭分層Logit模型刻畫齣行者的交通方式決策行為,利用彈性需求下的齣行方式選擇均衡等式,進一步討論瞭四種機製下的地鐵票價和停車收費策略.研究結果錶明,地鐵和換乘停車場由政府經營,採用低票價的政策吸弓l齣行者,而工作區停車場由公司經營,實行高停車費的政策,不僅能有效鼓勵停車換乘,提高公交齣行分擔率,併且能實現繫統淨收益最大.算例結果從理論上支持瞭噹前北京施行的差彆化停車收費政策.
고필종생활구여공작구지간적조만고봉출행련,연구삼충출행방식:지철직체,정차환승화전정가차.기우병경이론,건립료분층Logit모형각화출행자적교통방식결책행위,이용탄성수구하적출행방식선택균형등식,진일보토론료사충궤제하적지철표개화정차수비책략.연구결과표명,지철화환승정차장유정부경영,채용저표개적정책흡궁l출행자,이공작구정차장유공사경영,실행고정차비적정책,불부능유효고려정차환승,제고공교출행분담솔,병차능실현계통정수익최대.산례결과종이론상지지료당전북경시행적차별화정차수비정책.
This paper studies the mode choice problem considering the peak travel chain in a day. The transportation system comprises a subway parallel to a bottleneck-constrained highway between a residen- tial area and a working place. Commuters can get their destinations by either auto or transit only; besides these two modes, they can drive to the bottleneck, park there and then take subway to the destination. Based on the bottleneck theory, a hierarchical Logit model is used to describe commuters' mode choice behaviors, and then mode choice equilibrium equations under elastic demand are constructed. Further- more, optimal fare and parking fee strategies under four mechanisms are discussed. It is shown that when transit and park-and-ride place are operated by government and the working area parking lot belongs to a private enterprise, lower fares and higher parking fees in working area can effectively encourage parking interchanging, increase public transit trip contribution rate and maximize the system's total net benefit. Numerical results also support the current differentiation parking charge policy in Beijing.