CAJ | 학술논문

本文以1952—2011年作为研究的时间序列，就福建经济增长与产业结构变迁之间的关系作深入的分析，研究表明：（1）从“量”上来看，产业结构变迁对福建经济增长起着积极的促进作用。第二产业尤其是工业的发展与壮大是改革开放以来福建经济快速增长的主要支撑。然而，分组回归结果同时反映出这样的事实，即福建省第一产业和第三产业对经济增长的边际拉动作用要大于第二产业。基于此，在接下来的经济工作中，应高度重视省内“三农”建设和现代服务业的发展。（2）从“质”上来看，产业结构变迁是影响福建省内劳动生产率的主导因素。但由于产业结构存在要素资源“反配置”和“同质化”等问题，以过度投资为突出特征的“重化工业化”浪潮可能对福建经济未来的稳健发展形成严重威胁。针对以上问题，本文在第五部分给出了相关政策建议。
본문이1952—2011년작위연구적시간서렬，취복건경제증장여산업결구변천지간적관계작심입적분석，연구표명：（1）종“량”상래간，산업결구변천대복건경제증장기착적겁적촉진작용。제이산업우기시공업적발전여장대시개혁개방이래복건경제쾌속증장적주요지탱。연이，분조회귀결과동시반영출저양적사실，즉복건성제일산업화제삼산업대경제증장적변제랍동작용요대우제이산업。기우차，재접하래적경제공작중，응고도중시성내“삼농”건설화현대복무업적발전。（2）종“질”상래간，산업결구변천시영향복건성내노동생산솔적주도인소。단유우산업결구존재요소자원“반배치”화“동질화”등문제，이과도투자위돌출특정적“중화공업화”랑조가능대복건경제미래적은건발전형성엄중위협。침대이상문제，본문재제오부분급출료상관정책건의。
In this paper, we would like to engage in an in-depth study on the relationship between Fujian＇s economic growth and its industrial structure improvement during the period between 1952 and 2011. Based on the analysis, we have some conclusions as follows. Firstly, the reason why Fujian enjoys an eco- nomic success since the reform and opening up is that its secondary industry has been experiencing a rapid de- velopment until now. However, group regression results show that the primary and the third industry in Fujian are now playing a stronger marginal role. Therefore, the government should give a higher attention to the per- fect of the conditions of agriculture, countryside and farmers as well as the development of modern service sec- tor. Secondly, Industrial structure change is also the dominant factor lifting Fujian＇s labor productivity. Un- fortunately, problems such as ＂reverse configuration＂ of resources and homogenization of industries between cities are now giving rise to the zeal of excessive investment and heavy industrialization, which might eventual- ly prove to be a serious threat to Fujian＇s economic development in future. In the end, we give some relevant policy suggestions on how to solve the problems of industrial structure.