财经研究
財經研究
재경연구
The Study of Finance and Economics
2013年
3期
75~86
,共null页
二元劳动力结构 通货膨胀 新凯恩斯菲利普斯曲线
二元勞動力結構 通貨膨脹 新凱恩斯菲利普斯麯線
이원노동력결구 통화팽창 신개은사비리보사곡선
dual labor structure; inflation; new Keynesian Phillipscurve
在中国二元经济结构下,从事非农业劳务的劳动力供给具有二元特性,即农村居民既从事农业劳务又从事非农业劳务,而城镇居民一般仅从事非农业劳务。文章基于新凯恩斯菲利普斯曲线模型,构建了二元劳动力结构下的通货膨胀方程,并通过时间序列数据检验了相关关系后发现,城镇居民劳务收入变动是影响通货膨胀的显著正相关因素,但农村居民劳务收入变动与通货膨胀之间没有显著的相关关系。文章在一定程度上也验证了刘易斯关于二元经济结构下劳动力工资水平决定的设想,这有益于深入理解中国通货膨胀的成本推动形成机制。
在中國二元經濟結構下,從事非農業勞務的勞動力供給具有二元特性,即農村居民既從事農業勞務又從事非農業勞務,而城鎮居民一般僅從事非農業勞務。文章基于新凱恩斯菲利普斯麯線模型,構建瞭二元勞動力結構下的通貨膨脹方程,併通過時間序列數據檢驗瞭相關關繫後髮現,城鎮居民勞務收入變動是影響通貨膨脹的顯著正相關因素,但農村居民勞務收入變動與通貨膨脹之間沒有顯著的相關關繫。文章在一定程度上也驗證瞭劉易斯關于二元經濟結構下勞動力工資水平決定的設想,這有益于深入理解中國通貨膨脹的成本推動形成機製。
재중국이원경제결구하,종사비농업노무적노동력공급구유이원특성,즉농촌거민기종사농업노무우종사비농업노무,이성진거민일반부종사비농업노무。문장기우신개은사비리보사곡선모형,구건료이원노동력결구하적통화팽창방정,병통과시간서렬수거검험료상관관계후발현,성진거민노무수입변동시영향통화팽창적현저정상관인소,단농촌거민노무수입변동여통화팽창지간몰유현저적상관관계。문장재일정정도상야험증료류역사관우이원경제결구하노동력공자수평결정적설상,저유익우심입리해중국통화팽창적성본추동형성궤제。
In China as a dual economy, the supply of labor engaged in non-agricultural jobs is featured by duality, that is to say rural residents are engaged in not only agriculture labor but also non-agricultural labor, but urban residents are generally engaged only in non-agricultural labor. Based on the model of the new Keynesian Phillips curve, this paper constructs an inflation equation under dual labor structure, and examines the correlation through the time series data. It reaches the conclusions that the change in la- bor income of urban residents has a significantly positive effect on inflation, but the change in labor income of rural residents has no significantly positive effect on inflation. It also verifies Lewis idea on the determination of labor wages in a dual economy to a certain extent,thus contributing to a more indepth understanding of the formation mechanism of cost-driven inflation in China.