CAJ | 학술논문

将城市化区分为城镇化与大城市化，基于1980-2007年的跨国非平衡面板数据，实证研究了城镇化和大城市化与碳排放的关系，并比较分析了《京都议定书》的签署对城镇化和大城市化与碳排放关系的影响，及不同区域和不同经济发展水平下城镇化和大城市化与碳排放关系的变化。结果显示：整体而言，城镇化和大城市化与碳排放之间呈现倒U型关系，但大城市化对碳排放的负向影响比城镇化更明显；将国家按区域或收入水平分组后，不同组的国家城镇化和大城市化对碳排放具有不同的影响；《京都议定书》的签署没有显著改变城镇化和大城市化与碳排放的关系。
장성시화구분위성진화여대성시화，기우1980-2007년적과국비평형면판수거，실증연구료성진화화대성시화여탄배방적관계，병비교분석료《경도의정서》적첨서대성진화화대성시화여탄배방관계적영향，급불동구역화불동경제발전수평하성진화화대성시화여탄배방관계적변화。결과현시：정체이언，성진화화대성시화여탄배방지간정현도U형관계，단대성시화대탄배방적부향영향비성진화경명현；장국가안구역혹수입수평분조후，불동조적국가성진화화대성시화대탄배방구유불동적영향；《경도의정서》적첨서몰유현저개변성진화화대성시화여탄배방적관계。
Based on the cross - country unbalance pan- el data from 1980 to 2007, this essay conducts an empirical study on the relationship between urbanization （metropolis） and carbon emissions, comparatively analyzes whether the relationship would be influenced by the signed ＂Kyoto Protocol＂ and the difference of the relationship as regions or economic development changed. The results show that overallly, urbanization （metrop- olis） and the carbon emissions has an inverted U - shaped relationship, but metropolis has more obvious negative effects on the carbon emissions, that when the countries are classified by region or income in different groups of countries, urbanization andmetropolis have different effects on carbon emissions and that the signed ＂Kyoto Protocol＂ did not change the relationship between urbanization （metropolis） and carbon emissions.