中国石油大学学报：社会科学版
中國石油大學學報：社會科學版
중국석유대학학보：사회과학판
Journal of China University of Petroleum (Edition of Social Sciences)
2013年
1期
1~5
,共null页
天然气消费 需求诱致 供给推动 基础设施
天然氣消費 需求誘緻 供給推動 基礎設施
천연기소비 수구유치 공급추동 기출설시
gas consumption ; demand induced; supply pushing ; infrastructure
在过去30年，中国天然气消费增长经历了“前慢后快”的戏剧性变化。天然气需求水平和基础设施能力的互动是天然气发展的重要运行机制。该机制又可以分为两种模式：一种是消费增长刺激基础设施建设的需求诱致模式，另一种是基础设施建设推动消费规模扩张的供给推动模式。中国近30多年的天然气发展历史基本遵循供给推动模式，需求诱致模式没有发挥显著作用。供给推动模式既有阶段性贡献，也带来诸如“气荒”等问题。随着中国天然气产业的进一步发展，需求诱致模式将发挥越来越大的作用。
在過去30年，中國天然氣消費增長經歷瞭“前慢後快”的戲劇性變化。天然氣需求水平和基礎設施能力的互動是天然氣髮展的重要運行機製。該機製又可以分為兩種模式：一種是消費增長刺激基礎設施建設的需求誘緻模式，另一種是基礎設施建設推動消費規模擴張的供給推動模式。中國近30多年的天然氣髮展歷史基本遵循供給推動模式，需求誘緻模式沒有髮揮顯著作用。供給推動模式既有階段性貢獻，也帶來諸如“氣荒”等問題。隨著中國天然氣產業的進一步髮展，需求誘緻模式將髮揮越來越大的作用。
재과거30년，중국천연기소비증장경력료“전만후쾌”적희극성변화。천연기수구수평화기출설시능력적호동시천연기발전적중요운행궤제。해궤제우가이분위량충모식：일충시소비증장자격기출설시건설적수구유치모식，령일충시기출설시건설추동소비규모확장적공급추동모식。중국근30다년적천연기발전역사기본준순공급추동모식，수구유치모식몰유발휘현저작용。공급추동모식기유계단성공헌，야대래제여“기황”등문제。수착중국천연기산업적진일보발전，수구유치모식장발휘월래월대적작용。
In the past 30 years, there was a dramatic change in China＇s gas consumption growth, namely ＂ slow first and then fast＂. The mutual effect on each other with gas demand scale and its infrastructure capacity was the key working mechanism in the growth of gas consume level. And then, the working mechanism above mentioned is divided into two modes： One is the so-called ＂ demand induced＂, and the other is the ＂supply pushing＂. The path of China＇s gas consume growth basically followed the ＂ supply pushing＂ mode, and ＂demand induced＂ not worked to a great extent. However, along with the phase contribution to China＇s gas industry, ＂ supply pushing＂ mode brought about some problems, such as so-called ＂gas famine＂. In pace with the further development of China＇s gas industry, the ＂demand induced＂ would play more and more important role in gas consumption growth in the future.
