CAJ | 학술논문

本文利用1998～2007年中国工业企业数据和地级层面的官员数据，旨在从实证角度研究中国制造业的资源错配程度与地方党代会周期之间的内在关系。利用Hsieh and Klenow（2009）关于制造业资源错配程度的测度，我们发现，在省级党代会召开的当年和后两年，地级行政区的资源错配程度显著较高，在接下来的两年有所降低。我们的分析还显示，资源错配的党代会周期效应分别在国有企业密集度、产业关联效应度高或资本密集度高的行业表现更为明显。这些经验证据说明地方官员的晋升激励虽然有助于促进地区GDP增长，但与此同时也可能对地区的资源配置效率产生负面影响。
본문이용1998～2007년중국공업기업수거화지급층면적관원수거，지재종실증각도연구중국제조업적자원착배정도여지방당대회주기지간적내재관계。이용Hsieh and Klenow（2009）관우제조업자원착배정도적측도，아문발현，재성급당대회소개적당년화후량년，지급행정구적자원착배정도현저교고，재접하래적량년유소강저。아문적분석환현시，자원착배적당대회주기효응분별재국유기업밀집도、산업관련효응도고혹자본밀집도고적행업표현경위명현。저사경험증거설명지방관원적진승격려수연유조우촉진지구GDP증장，단여차동시야가능대지구적자원배치효솔산생부면영향。
Using a large dataset of manufacturing firms and local officials during 1998 - 2007, this paper investigates the empirical relationship between resource misallocation in the manufacturing sector and the timing of local Party Congress in China. Exploiting the measure of industrial - level resource misallocation proposed by Hsieh and Klenow （2009）, we find that the manufacturing misallocation significantly increases in the Party Congress year and the subsequent two years, and decreases in the other two years. This relationship between misallocation and political cycles becomes more pronounced for industries with higher concentration of state - owned enterprises, capital - intensive firms or industries with strong linkage effects. This evidence suggests that while the promotion incentive of local officials in China may induce high GDP growth, it also generates negative impacts on allocative efficiency.