地域研究与开发
地域研究與開髮
지역연구여개발
Areal Research and Development
2013年
2期
103~108
,共null页
许玲燕 王慧敏 马显莹 陈军飞 马剑锋
許玲燕 王慧敏 馬顯瑩 陳軍飛 馬劍鋒
허령연 왕혜민 마현형 진군비 마검봉
旱灾 风险管理框架 对策 云南省
旱災 風險管理框架 對策 雲南省
한재 풍험관리광가 대책 운남성
drought disater; risk management framework; adaptive strategies; Yunnan Province
基于云南省近年来大范围持久性干旱的反思,分析云南省旱灾管理现状,借鉴国内外成功的旱灾风险管理实践经验,提出了推行云南省旱灾风险管理的必要性和可行性。并以风险管理理论为基础,将旱灾风险识别、风险评估、损失评估、风险决策与控制4个步骤为主线贯穿旱灾风险管理过程,构建了云南省旱灾风险管理框架。通过鱼骨图分析,从自然环境、社会经济2个类别识别判断影响云南省旱灾风险的10个因子。从风险管理理念、制度体系、预警与调度系统、科技支撑水平、应急水源和应急服务及灾后补偿保障6个方面提出了云南省旱灾风险管理行动对策,为云南省建立长效的抗旱减灾管理机制提供了重要建议。
基于雲南省近年來大範圍持久性榦旱的反思,分析雲南省旱災管理現狀,藉鑒國內外成功的旱災風險管理實踐經驗,提齣瞭推行雲南省旱災風險管理的必要性和可行性。併以風險管理理論為基礎,將旱災風險識彆、風險評估、損失評估、風險決策與控製4箇步驟為主線貫穿旱災風險管理過程,構建瞭雲南省旱災風險管理框架。通過魚骨圖分析,從自然環境、社會經濟2箇類彆識彆判斷影響雲南省旱災風險的10箇因子。從風險管理理唸、製度體繫、預警與調度繫統、科技支撐水平、應急水源和應急服務及災後補償保障6箇方麵提齣瞭雲南省旱災風險管理行動對策,為雲南省建立長效的抗旱減災管理機製提供瞭重要建議。
기우운남성근년래대범위지구성간한적반사,분석운남성한재관리현상,차감국내외성공적한재풍험관리실천경험,제출료추행운남성한재풍험관리적필요성화가행성。병이풍험관리이론위기출,장한재풍험식별、풍험평고、손실평고、풍험결책여공제4개보취위주선관천한재풍험관리과정,구건료운남성한재풍험관리광가。통과어골도분석,종자연배경、사회경제2개유별식별판단영향운남성한재풍험적10개인자。종풍험관리이념、제도체계、예경여조도계통、과기지탱수평、응급수원화응급복무급재후보상보장6개방면제출료운남성한재풍험관리행동대책,위운남성건립장효적항한감재관리궤제제공료중요건의。
This research presented the necessity and feasibility of the drought disaster risk management in Yunnan Province, which was based on the reflection of widespread and persistent drought in recent years of Yunnan Province and analysis of the drought disaster management status of Yunnan Province, and the learning from practi- cal experience of drought disaster risk management from home and abroad. Then based on risk management theory, the framework of the drought disaster risk management in Yunnan Province has been built, which was mainly included four steps of the drought disaster risk management process, such as drought disaster risk identification, risk assessment, damage assessment, risk decision-making and control. Through the fisbbone diagram analysis, it identified those ten factors affecting the risk of drought disaster in Yunnan Province from the natural environment and soeio-eeonomic categories. Finally, the operational adaptive strategies of the drought disaster risk management in Yunnan Province has been suggested from six aspects, which include awareness of risk management, institutional system, early warning and scheduling system, the level of scientific and technological support, emergency water and emergency services, and post-disaster compensation protection.