经济问题
經濟問題
경제문제
On Economic Problems
2013年
5期
126~128
,共null页
产业结构 发展 实证研究
產業結構 髮展 實證研究
산업결구 발전 실증연구
industrial structure ; development ; empirical study
以2000~2010年间内蒙古三次产业发展的数据资料为依据,分析内蒙古三次产业结构整体和内部产业结构发展现状,利用回归模型,分析三次产业对GDP的贡献。认为内蒙古第一产业对GDP贡献逐渐减少,第二产业对GDP贡献逐渐增加,第三产业对GDP贡献无明显变化。内蒙古产业结构与就业结构之间梯度不合理,回归分析结构显示,第三产业与GDP增长关联度最强。认为内蒙古进入产业结构调整和升级的关键时期,必须发展现代农牧业,走新型工业化之路,大力发展第三产业,逐渐实现“退二进三”的产业结构调整方向。
以2000~2010年間內矇古三次產業髮展的數據資料為依據,分析內矇古三次產業結構整體和內部產業結構髮展現狀,利用迴歸模型,分析三次產業對GDP的貢獻。認為內矇古第一產業對GDP貢獻逐漸減少,第二產業對GDP貢獻逐漸增加,第三產業對GDP貢獻無明顯變化。內矇古產業結構與就業結構之間梯度不閤理,迴歸分析結構顯示,第三產業與GDP增長關聯度最彊。認為內矇古進入產業結構調整和升級的關鍵時期,必鬚髮展現代農牧業,走新型工業化之路,大力髮展第三產業,逐漸實現“退二進三”的產業結構調整方嚮。
이2000~2010년간내몽고삼차산업발전적수거자료위의거,분석내몽고삼차산업결구정체화내부산업결구발전현상,이용회귀모형,분석삼차산업대GDP적공헌。인위내몽고제일산업대GDP공헌축점감소,제이산업대GDP공헌축점증가,제삼산업대GDP공헌무명현변화。내몽고산업결구여취업결구지간제도불합리,회귀분석결구현시,제삼산업여GDP증장관련도최강。인위내몽고진입산업결구조정화승급적관건시기,필수발전현대농목업,주신형공업화지로,대력발전제삼산업,축점실현“퇴이진삼”적산업결구조정방향。
Through quantitative analysis of the developing in the industrial structure of the Inner Mongolia dur- ing the period of 2000 ~ 2010, this thesis tries to analyze the development of the whole and internal three industries in Inner Mongolia. The regression model was employed to analyze the three industries to the contribution of GDP. The Results showed that the contribution of first industry reduce gradually, the contribution of second industry in- crease gradually, and the contribution of third industry no obvious change. The industrial structure and employment structure progress unbalanced, the results show GDP and the intensity of correlation the third industry is the most strong. Now is the crucial time for changing of industrial structural of Inner Mongolia. Inner Mongolia must actively develop modem animal husbandry, take a new road to industrialization, and strive to develop the third industry, in- tensify industrial restructuring from the second industry to the third industry.