CAJ | 학술논문

本文具体分析了城乡居民在消费规模、消费环境、消费行为和消费结构等消费差异的表现，根据1995—2011年中国城乡居民消费的相关数据，运用计量经济学方法，对我国城乡居民收入、固定投资与消费差距的关系进行实证研究。结果表明，城乡居民的收入差距、社会固定投资的“城市偏好”倾向、城市化进程中的城乡人口变迁和政府消费支出的过快增长对我国城乡消费差异具有显著影响。最终提出构建农民增收长效机制、转变政府主导投资驱动模式、推进城乡经济均衡发展和构建“市民-农民工-农民”的消费引导机制以弥合城乡消费差异等政策主张。
본문구체분석료성향거민재소비규모、소비배경、소비행위화소비결구등소비차이적표현，근거1995—2011년중국성향거민소비적상관수거，운용계량경제학방법，대아국성향거민수입、고정투자여소비차거적관계진행실증연구。결과표명，성향거민적수입차거、사회고정투자적“성시편호”경향、성시화진정중적성향인구변천화정부소비지출적과쾌증장대아국성향소비차이구유현저영향。최종제출구건농민증수장효궤제、전변정부주도투자구동모식、추진성향경제균형발전화구건“시민-농민공-농민”적소비인도궤제이미합성향소비차이등정책주장。
China＇s economy has made more than 30 years of rapid growth, but the contribution from consump- tion fell dramatically. In 1998, the Chinese government put forward the development strategy of ＂expanding domes- tic demand＂ for the first time. After more than a decade of expanding the domestic demand, government investment tended to increase and inefficiently stimulate the consumption demand policies, which prompted domestic scholars to begin paying closer attention to how long-term mechanisms could be built to expand consumer demand and also to consider which factors affect domestic consumer demand. Then more and more scholars began to realize that only by narrowing the gap between urban and rural residents＇ consumption could they quickly promote the consumption de- mand of domestic residents and completion of the consumption structure upgrade and eventually realize the sustain- able development of China＇s economy. Chinese scholars on the consumption difference between urban and rural areas of the research content includes four aspects： the consumption level, consumption st/＇ucture, consumption difference between urban and rural areas causes and countermeasures, etc. Current research has the great convergence, the source data convergence, explains factors convergence, convergence analysis method, convergence strategy advice. For many reason for the difference between the urban and rural consumption change of urban and rural population and due to income factor, and the factors of government policy, the history rural migrant workers to the fast expanding of consumer groups. From the government＇s policy guidance, the history change of urban and rural population scale, government consumption of res- idents consumption of crowding out and migrant workers, such as Angle of view to explore the cause of the consump- tion gap between urban and rural areas, and finally puts forward countermeasures and Suggestions of their own. In a detailed analysis of urban and rural residents consumption in consumption scale, consumption level, con- sumption structure, consumption environment and consumer behavior and other aspects. They found that, although in the past 30 years China＇s rural residents＇ consumption level and consumption structure greatly improved, there is still a large difference when compared to urban residents. Furthermore there was a widening trend of the consump- tion gap between urban and rural residents. According to the relevant data of China＇ s urban and rural residents＇ consumption during the period of 1995 ~ 2011, using econometric methods to obtain the income of urban and rural residents in our country and the social scale gap between urban and rural areas. Also considering the relationship between the consumption gap between urban and rural areas and the empirical research results show that the urban and rural residents income gap and social fixed investment tendency suffer from ＂urban bias＂. In the process of the urbanization of the rapid growth of the urban and rural population change and government consumption expenditure has a significant difference to our country＇ s urban and rural residents＇ consumption. Through the above analysis, the Chinese government＇s policy has a great influence on the expansion of con- sumption gap between urban and rural areas. On the basis of the above empirical analysis, this paper puts forward the countermeasures and these suggestions： first, to increase rural production subsidies and reduce family spending ratio; second, to reasonably support the development of rural financial credit in order to reduce the consumption capital constraints of farmers, which would finally build long-tdrm effective mechanisms for increasing the income of rural residents in China. Third, to change the trend of the ＂government-led investment driven growth model＂. Fourth, to transform the government＇ s fixed investment tendency of ＂urban bias＂ and to implement balanced devel- opment between urban and rural areas. Fifth, to transform the tendency towards the rapid growth of government consumption.