CAJ | 학술논문

运用主成分方法，结合模糊数学的处理思路，以中国农业自由贸易系统、资源环境系统作为分析的基础，测算两系统的协调数值，可发现从2008年开始，中国农业贸易的逆差在扩大，而农业贸易与资源环境之间的协调程度却在恶化。究其原因：首先，中国2001年已经进入WTO，但出口农产品的生产方式仍然表现为粗放型的生产方式。其次，中国当前出口农产品结构中污染密集型农产品的比重依旧占有较大的比重，出口农业的贸易结构并没有太大的变化。最后，中国农业贸易自由化短期内减少了农业的就业机会，而且通过结构效应和技术效应还加剧了中国资源环境质量地恶化。
운용주성분방법，결합모호수학적처리사로，이중국농업자유무역계통、자원배경계통작위분석적기출，측산량계통적협조수치，가발현종2008년개시，중국농업무역적역차재확대，이농업무역여자원배경지간적협조정도각재악화。구기원인：수선，중국2001년이경진입WTO，단출구농산품적생산방식잉연표현위조방형적생산방식。기차，중국당전출구농산품결구중오염밀집형농산품적비중의구점유교대적비중，출구농업적무역결구병몰유태대적변화。최후，중국농업무역자유화단기내감소료농업적취업궤회，이차통과결구효응화기술효응환가극료중국자원배경질량지악화。
On the basis of the principal components analysis and ambiguity synthetic judgment, this paper studies the harmonious analysis of Agricultural free trade and resources environment in China. From 2008, this paper found that the agricultural trade deficit has been in the expansion, and the coordination degree of the agricultural trade and resources environment has been getting worse. Investigates its reason; first, the exporting production method of agricultural products has been a extensive model from 2001 ; second, the pollution intensive agricultural proportion still has a larger proportion to the structure of exports in China; third, the agricultural trade liberalization is reducing the agricultural job opportunities shortly, and it also exacerbates the quality of natural resources and environment with the structure effect and technology effect in China.