经济与管理
經濟與管理
경제여관리
Economy and Management
2013年
5期
15~22
,共null页
房地产价格 跨区域相关研究 澳门 珠海 实证
房地產價格 跨區域相關研究 澳門 珠海 實證
방지산개격 과구역상관연구 오문 주해 실증
Price of real estate; Cross region correlative study; Macao; Zhuhai; Empirical analysis
在对澳门和珠海两地经济发展阶段与产业结构进行比较分析的基础上,对两地房地产市场进行实证分析,结果表明:珠海房地产市场受到澳门影响较大;澳门与珠海房屋均价具有极强的正相关关系,即澳门房价每增长1美元,珠海房价增长0.262904美元,两者之间的滞后时期大约是1年;澳门与珠海房屋均价之间的差距将逐渐缩小,这是由于澳门房地产资本和投机资本将加速进入交通成本极低的珠海市场所致。
在對澳門和珠海兩地經濟髮展階段與產業結構進行比較分析的基礎上,對兩地房地產市場進行實證分析,結果錶明:珠海房地產市場受到澳門影響較大;澳門與珠海房屋均價具有極彊的正相關關繫,即澳門房價每增長1美元,珠海房價增長0.262904美元,兩者之間的滯後時期大約是1年;澳門與珠海房屋均價之間的差距將逐漸縮小,這是由于澳門房地產資本和投機資本將加速進入交通成本極低的珠海市場所緻。
재대오문화주해량지경제발전계단여산업결구진행비교분석적기출상,대량지방지산시장진행실증분석,결과표명:주해방지산시장수도오문영향교대;오문여주해방옥균개구유겁강적정상관관계,즉오문방개매증장1미원,주해방개증장0.262904미원,량자지간적체후시기대약시1년;오문여주해방옥균개지간적차거장축점축소,저시유우오문방지산자본화투궤자본장가속진입교통성본겁저적주해시장소치。
Based on comparative analysis on stages of economic growth and industrial structure of Macao and Zhuhai, the article has an empirical analysis on real estate market of Macao and Zhuhai,results show that, (1)The real estate market of Zhuhai is great influenced by the Macao's; (2)Average housing price of Macao has a strongly positive correlation with Zhuhai's,namely,average housing price of Macao rises one dollar each,average housing price of Zhuhai rises 0.262904 dollar, and there is about one year lag period;(3)the gap of average housing price between Macao and Zhuhai will gradually lessen, the reason is that real estate capital and venture capital of Macao will accelerate to enter the Zhuhai Market whose transportation cost is very low.