求是学刊
求是學刊
구시학간
Seeking Truth
2013年
3期
59~66
,共null页
潜在产出 要素投入 固定资本存量 中间投入
潛在產齣 要素投入 固定資本存量 中間投入
잠재산출 요소투입 고정자본존량 중간투입
potential output; element input; fixed capital stock ;intermediate input
运用HP滤波法估算我国制造业各行业的潜在产出,并基于投入产出表推导的公式计算制造业行业的固定资本存量,通过对投入产出表直接消耗系数矩阵的调整,重新构造中间投入价格指数,估计制造业各行业的中间投入。在此基础上,利用制造业行业面板数据,采用Cobb—Douglas生产函数的形式,对潜在产出与要素投入之间的关系进行实证检验。结果表明,潜在产出与要素投入之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,且不同行业、不同时期生产要素的贡献差异明显。
運用HP濾波法估算我國製造業各行業的潛在產齣,併基于投入產齣錶推導的公式計算製造業行業的固定資本存量,通過對投入產齣錶直接消耗繫數矩陣的調整,重新構造中間投入價格指數,估計製造業各行業的中間投入。在此基礎上,利用製造業行業麵闆數據,採用Cobb—Douglas生產函數的形式,對潛在產齣與要素投入之間的關繫進行實證檢驗。結果錶明,潛在產齣與要素投入之間存在長期穩定的均衡關繫,且不同行業、不同時期生產要素的貢獻差異明顯。
운용HP려파법고산아국제조업각행업적잠재산출,병기우투입산출표추도적공식계산제조업행업적고정자본존량,통과대투입산출표직접소모계수구진적조정,중신구조중간투입개격지수,고계제조업각행업적중간투입。재차기출상,이용제조업행업면판수거,채용Cobb—Douglas생산함수적형식,대잠재산출여요소투입지간적관계진행실증검험。결과표명,잠재산출여요소투입지간존재장기은정적균형관계,차불동행업、불동시기생산요소적공헌차이명현。
By adopting HP Filter Method the potential output of different manufacturing industries in China can be estimated and the fixed capital stock can be calculated with the formula based on chart of input and output. With the adjustment of direct consumption coefficient matrix the intermediate input price indices can be reconstructed so as to estimate the intermediate input of different manufacturing industries. Based on that, by adopting panel data of manufacturing industry and CobbDouglas production function, the relation between potential output and element input can be tested empirically. The result shows that there is a lasting balanced relation between potential output and element input and the difference of contribution of production factors in different industries and different time are evident.