CAJ | 학술논문

基于CHNS的八轮农村家庭收入调查数据,本文使用贫困发生率和平方缺口指数对农村贫困进行了实证分析,并把贫困变动分解为长期贫困效应、脱贫效应和返贫效应。实证结论表明,虽然长期贫困发生率呈现明显下降趋势,但是近期长期贫困的平方缺口指数表现出一定程度的上升;脱贫效应是减少贫困的主要因素,返贫效应则是加剧贫困的诱因。此外,匿名性与非匿名性的增长率显示,匿名性低估了低收入阶层的实际收入增长率,从而高估了实际贫困。
기우CHNS적팔륜농촌가정수입조사수거,본문사용빈곤발생솔화평방결구지수대농촌빈곤진행료실증분석,병파빈곤변동분해위장기빈곤효응、탈빈효응화반빈효응。실증결론표명,수연장기빈곤발생솔정현명현하강추세,단시근기장기빈곤적평방결구지수표현출일정정도적상승;탈빈효응시감소빈곤적주요인소,반빈효응칙시가극빈곤적유인。차외,닉명성여비닉명성적증장솔현시,닉명성저고료저수입계층적실제수입증장솔,종이고고료실제빈곤。
Based on the eight survey data of CHNS,this paper studies the rural poverty by poverty headcount ratio and the squared poverty gap index.This paper gives a decompositive formula which turns the poverty change into three parts： long term poverty,relieving from poverty and returning into poverty.The empirical results are：（1）Though poverty headcount ratio of long term is decreasing,the squared poverty gap index is a little increasing.（2） Relieving from poverty is the main cause of poverty decrease,and returning into poverty is the main reason of poverty increase.（3）Compare anonymity with non-anonymity,the growth rate of the low income class is underestimated and the actual poverty is overestimated.