中国社会科学院研究生院学报
中國社會科學院研究生院學報
중국사회과학원연구생원학보
Academic Journal Graduate School Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
2013年
3期
39~46
,共null页
经济增长 减贫 FGT指数 平均脱贫时间指数
經濟增長 減貧 FGT指數 平均脫貧時間指數
경제증장 감빈 FGT지수 평균탈빈시간지수
economic growth; alleviating poverty; Foster-Greer-Thorbeeke Index; Average Exit Time Index
1981年-2005年我国农村和城镇平均脱贫时间的计算结果显示:我国农村经济增长的减贫效果显著,而城镇经济增长的减贫效果不显著。FGT贫困指数对贫困线敏感度较高,说明贫困群体具有较高的脆弱性;城镇贫困群体平均脱贫时间在个别年份出现逆转,说明我国城镇减贫工作很可能存在较大比例的易返贫群体。收入的初次分配和再分配均抵消了经济增长的减贫效果,现阶段再分配的抵消作用要大于初次分配。因此推进全社会基本公共服务均等化,完善公共品供给机制才是减贫的关键所在。
1981年-2005年我國農村和城鎮平均脫貧時間的計算結果顯示:我國農村經濟增長的減貧效果顯著,而城鎮經濟增長的減貧效果不顯著。FGT貧睏指數對貧睏線敏感度較高,說明貧睏群體具有較高的脆弱性;城鎮貧睏群體平均脫貧時間在箇彆年份齣現逆轉,說明我國城鎮減貧工作很可能存在較大比例的易返貧群體。收入的初次分配和再分配均牴消瞭經濟增長的減貧效果,現階段再分配的牴消作用要大于初次分配。因此推進全社會基本公共服務均等化,完善公共品供給機製纔是減貧的關鍵所在。
1981년-2005년아국농촌화성진평균탈빈시간적계산결과현시:아국농촌경제증장적감빈효과현저,이성진경제증장적감빈효과불현저。FGT빈곤지수대빈곤선민감도교고,설명빈곤군체구유교고적취약성;성진빈곤군체평균탈빈시간재개별년빈출현역전,설명아국성진감빈공작흔가능존재교대비례적역반빈군체。수입적초차분배화재분배균저소료경제증장적감빈효과,현계단재분배적저소작용요대우초차분배。인차추진전사회기본공공복무균등화,완선공공품공급궤제재시감빈적관건소재。
The evaluation of rural and urban average exit time index in China from 1981 to 2005 shows that the impact on poverty is significant in rural but insignificant in urban. FGT index is very sensitive to the poverty line, which shows the poor is very vulnerable. The average exit time index of the poor in urban has come under tremendous strain in some year, which shows there is possible crisis in the work for urban poverty reduction. Because there is a large proportion of the group that just above the poverty line and very close to it. So they return back to poverty easily. The primary distribution and redistribution of income offset the alleviating poverty effect of economic growth, and the bucking effect of present redistribution is greater than the primary distribution. Therefore, the key points of alleviating poverty are propell.ing equalization of the society's Basic public service and perfecting the mechanism of public good supply.