CAJ | 학술논문

针对现有评价实施框架内评价指标体系的不完善，在充分借鉴前人研究成果的基础上，综合考虑人员、设备、环境等主控因素，构建了调车作业安全评价指标体系．然后借鉴集对分析理论，提出基于联系数的定量与定性评价方法，该方法通过计算评价对象的综合联系数，利用特征值公式计算综合评价特征值作为定量评判等级的依据，再利用集对势对系统态势作出定性分析．最后将构建的指标体系及选用的评价方法应用于车站实例中，结果表明：所构建的指标体系能较好的刻画车站调车作业安全状况，完善了调车作业安全评价工作；选用的评价方法能从定量和定性层面综合判定系统的安全状态，具有更普遍的意义，为安全评价理论提供了一种新的研究方法与思路．
침대현유평개실시광가내평개지표체계적불완선，재충분차감전인연구성과적기출상，종합고필인원、설비、배경등주공인소，구건료조차작업안전평개지표체계．연후차감집대분석이론，제출기우련계수적정량여정성평개방법，해방법통과계산평개대상적종합련계수，이용특정치공식계산종합평개특정치작위정량평판등급적의거，재이용집대세대계통태세작출정성분석．최후장구건적지표체계급선용적평개방법응용우차참실례중，결과표명：소구건적지표체계능교호적각화차참조차작업안전상황，완선료조차작업안전평개공작；선용적평개방법능종정량화정성층면종합판정계통적안전상태，구유경보편적의의，위안전평개이론제공료일충신적연구방법여사로．
Defining level of shunting safety is critical to railway safety management. In view of the imperfection on index system in procedures of shunting safety evaluation, on the basis of using for references of previous research results and considering factors of personnel, equipment and environment, evaluation index system of shunting safety was established. Then quantitative and qualitative evaluation method based on connection number was put forward by means of set pair analysis theory, this method calculated com- prehensive connection number, then quantitatively evaluated safety level by eigenvalue and qualitatively analyzes situation by set pair potential. Finally, index system and this method was applied to railway station, results show, safety of shunting can be characterized preferably by the constructed index system, shunting safety evaluation is consummated, the method is available for evaluating safety level quantitatively and qualitatively, and have a widespread meaning more so as to provide a new research method and idea for safety evaluation theory.