南方金融
南方金融
남방금융
South China Finance
2013年
5期
20~25
,共null页
经济增长 资本账户开放 汇率形成机制改革 利率市场化 协同效应
經濟增長 資本賬戶開放 彙率形成機製改革 利率市場化 協同效應
경제증장 자본장호개방 회솔형성궤제개혁 리솔시장화 협동효응
Economic Growth; Capital Account Liberalization; Exchange Rate Regime Reform; Interest Rate Marketization ; Synergy
本文在回顾相关理论及各国实践经验的基础上,对资本账户开放、汇率制度改革、利率市场化之间的相互关系进行了探讨,并分别检验了资本账户开放与汇率弹性机制改革及利率市场化改革在促进经济增长方面的协同效应。实证结果表明:资本账户开放有助于经济增长;资本账户开放与汇率弹性机制改革之间存在协同效应;从长期来看,资本账户开放与弹性汇率形成机制改革对于经济增长具有联合推动作用;而资本账户开放所带来的经济增长效应与利率市场化水平没有显著的相关性,关于利率市场化程度提高应先于资本账户开放的金融改革次序论观点在文中并没有得到支持。
本文在迴顧相關理論及各國實踐經驗的基礎上,對資本賬戶開放、彙率製度改革、利率市場化之間的相互關繫進行瞭探討,併分彆檢驗瞭資本賬戶開放與彙率彈性機製改革及利率市場化改革在促進經濟增長方麵的協同效應。實證結果錶明:資本賬戶開放有助于經濟增長;資本賬戶開放與彙率彈性機製改革之間存在協同效應;從長期來看,資本賬戶開放與彈性彙率形成機製改革對于經濟增長具有聯閤推動作用;而資本賬戶開放所帶來的經濟增長效應與利率市場化水平沒有顯著的相關性,關于利率市場化程度提高應先于資本賬戶開放的金融改革次序論觀點在文中併沒有得到支持。
본문재회고상관이론급각국실천경험적기출상,대자본장호개방、회솔제도개혁、리솔시장화지간적상호관계진행료탐토,병분별검험료자본장호개방여회솔탄성궤제개혁급리솔시장화개혁재촉진경제증장방면적협동효응。실증결과표명:자본장호개방유조우경제증장;자본장호개방여회솔탄성궤제개혁지간존재협동효응;종장기래간,자본장호개방여탄성회솔형성궤제개혁대우경제증장구유연합추동작용;이자본장호개방소대래적경제증장효응여리솔시장화수평몰유현저적상관성,관우리솔시장화정도제고응선우자본장호개방적금융개혁차서론관점재문중병몰유득도지지。
Based on the theory review and practical experience in selected countries, this paper analyzes the relationships of the capital account liberalization, exchange rate flexibility, and interest rate marketization and pays attention to the synergies between economic growth and them. The empirical analysis shows that the capital account liberalization contributes to the economic growth; a synergy has been between the capital account liberalization and the exchange rate flexibility reforms. In the long run, capital account liberalization and exchange rate flexibility reforms work together on promoting economic growth. However, there is no significant correlation between the economic growth effects brought from the capital account liberalization and the levels of interest rate marketization. The financial reform order theory, which states that interest rate marketization should precede the capital account convertibility reform, is not supported by this paper.