CAJ | 학술논문

本文建立了一个城镇化与服务业集聚互动发展的耦合与协调模型．以31个省份2002-2011年的面板数据为样本，测算了二者互动发展的耦合度和协调度．并从空间、时间两个维度进行了对比，同时对西部各省份予以了分析。研究发现：中国城镇化与服务业集聚耦合互动状况整体不佳，二者仍处在磨合阶段，东部地区失衡现象更为突出：失衡的原因具有省际差异，总体上东部地区表现为服务业集聚发展不足．中西部地区也已由城镇化相对滞后转变为服务业集聚发展滞后；城镇化与服务业集聚的耦合互动具有逐步加强的时变特点和分布的空间变迁特点，二者已在少数省份形成了协同发展的局面．鉴于此，本文认为在深化推进新型城镇化与新型工业化道路过程中，应当加强对城镇化与服务业集聚互动发展的战略认识，在制定向服务业适度倾斜的城镇化产业配套政策同时．注重城镇化与服务业集聚发展相对滞后方面的提升，并在新一轮西部大开发过程中予以实施．
본문건립료일개성진화여복무업집취호동발전적우합여협조모형．이31개성빈2002-2011년적면판수거위양본，측산료이자호동발전적우합도화협조도．병종공간、시간량개유도진행료대비，동시대서부각성빈여이료분석。연구발현：중국성진화여복무업집취우합호동상황정체불가，이자잉처재마합계단，동부지구실형현상경위돌출：실형적원인구유성제차이，총체상동부지구표현위복무업집취발전불족．중서부지구야이유성진화상대체후전변위복무업집취발전체후；성진화여복무업집취적우합호동구유축보가강적시변특점화분포적공간변천특점，이자이재소수성빈형성료협동발전적국면．감우차，본문인위재심화추진신형성진화여신형공업화도로과정중，응당가강대성진화여복무업집취호동발전적전략인식，재제정향복무업괄도경사적성진화산업배투정책동시．주중성진화여복무업집취발전상대체후방면적제승，병재신일륜서부대개발과정중여이실시．
Based on the coupling and coordination models and 2002--2011 panel data of 31 provinces, this paper analyzed the interactive development of urbanization and service industry agglomeration on the prospects of space and time dimensions. It found that firstly the coupling interation situation between China＇s urbanization and service industry agglomeration as a whole is poor, both eastern, central and western regions are in the run-in phase, and the imbalance of eastern region is more serious. Secondly, the reason of imbalance is that service industry agglomeration lags behind urbanization, but it differs in provinces. Thirdly, coupling interaction between urbanization and service industry agglomeration has characteristics of a gradual strengthen time trend and changing spatial distribution and a few provinces has formed a joint development of the situation. Finally, relevant policy recommendations were given.