CAJ | 학술논문

把中国分为八大综合经济区，采集各区域1952—2011年的数据，运用结构向量自回归模型，实证检验中国财政政策的区域非对称性效应，结果显示：中国财政支出和税收收入对GDP的影响存在明显的区域非对称效应，各综合经济区产出对财政支出的冲击响应是正向的，其中对东北和黄河中游综合经济区的影响最大，对大西南综合经济区的影响最小，之间相差达5倍；除了南部沿海综合经济区外，其他各综合经济区的产出对税收的冲击响应是负向的，其中对东部沿海和东北综合经济区的影响最大，其比受影响最小的大西北和大西南综合经济区高4倍。
파중국분위팔대종합경제구，채집각구역1952—2011년적수거，운용결구향량자회귀모형，실증검험중국재정정책적구역비대칭성효응，결과현시：중국재정지출화세수수입대GDP적영향존재명현적구역비대칭효응，각종합경제구산출대재정지출적충격향응시정향적，기중대동북화황하중유종합경제구적영향최대，대대서남종합경제구적영향최소，지간상차체5배；제료남부연해종합경제구외，기타각종합경제구적산출대세수적충격향응시부향적，기중대동부연해화동북종합경제구적영향최대，기비수영향최소적대서북화대서남종합경제구고4배。
Dividing eight comprehensive economic zone in China, this paper makes an empirical test of whether the regional asym- metric effect exists in China＇s fiscal policy by collected data for the regions from 1952 to 2011, which uses Structural Vector Autoregressive Model. The result shows that there exists significant regional non - symmetric effect on the effect of financial expenditures and tax income on outputs. The outputs of comprehensive economic zone on financial expendi- tures of impact response is positive, which on Northeast and Yellow River Middle integrated economic area is maximum, and on large Southwest integrated economic area is minimum, where is 5 times less the Northeast comprehensive eco- nomic zone. Beside southern coastal integrated economic area, other integrated economic areas of outputs on tax of im- pact response is negative, which on east coastal and Northeast integrated economic area is maximum, and it is 4 times larger than the Northwest and Southwest integrated economic zone which is the minimum.