生态经济
生態經濟
생태경제
Ecological Economy
2013年
7期
93~97
,共null页
旅游 影响因素 空间异质性 地理加权回归（GWR）
旅遊 影響因素 空間異質性 地理加權迴歸（GWR）
여유 영향인소 공간이질성 지리가권회귀（GWR）
tourism; determinants; spatial heterogeneity; GWR
利用地理加权回归（geographically weighted regression，GWR）方法，以中国31个省域为例，研究省域旅游影响因素的空间差异，估算出各个地区旅游影响因素的弹性系数。结果表明：经济发展水平和基础设施是影响中国大部分省域旅游发展最为重要的因素，经济发展水平变量弹性系数在东北、华东、华北、西北地区较大；基础设施则对华中、华南及西南地区旅游较大影响；人力资源变量在东北和华北地区起到了主导作用，而旅游上层设施在西北地区的拉动作用明显。最后提出，各个地区应该制定差异化的旅游政策做引导，从而使各个地区旅游发展越来越好．扣．有利千令国旅游水平总体提高。
利用地理加權迴歸（geographically weighted regression，GWR）方法，以中國31箇省域為例，研究省域旅遊影響因素的空間差異，估算齣各箇地區旅遊影響因素的彈性繫數。結果錶明：經濟髮展水平和基礎設施是影響中國大部分省域旅遊髮展最為重要的因素，經濟髮展水平變量彈性繫數在東北、華東、華北、西北地區較大；基礎設施則對華中、華南及西南地區旅遊較大影響；人力資源變量在東北和華北地區起到瞭主導作用，而旅遊上層設施在西北地區的拉動作用明顯。最後提齣，各箇地區應該製定差異化的旅遊政策做引導，從而使各箇地區旅遊髮展越來越好．釦．有利韆令國旅遊水平總體提高。
이용지리가권회귀（geographically weighted regression，GWR）방법，이중국31개성역위례，연구성역여유영향인소적공간차이，고산출각개지구여유영향인소적탄성계수。결과표명：경제발전수평화기출설시시영향중국대부분성역여유발전최위중요적인소，경제발전수평변량탄성계수재동북、화동、화북、서북지구교대；기출설시칙대화중、화남급서남지구여유교대영향；인력자원변량재동북화화북지구기도료주도작용，이여유상층설시재서북지구적랍동작용명현。최후제출，각개지구응해제정차이화적여유정책주인도，종이사각개지구여유발전월래월호．구．유리천령국여유수평총체제고。
The paper employs geographically weighted regression to have a research on the determinants of tourism at provincial level. The results show that there is spatial disparity among the influencing factors of tourism in China. The coefficients of each determinants are estimated by using GWR method. Some useful findings can be obtained that both economic growth and infrastructure, which have significant effects on tourism, are of vital importance for most regions in China. The elasticity of coefficients are lager in western regions and infrastructure variable has a more effect on tourism in Southeast and south regions. Human capital variable plays a more important role in Northeast and North China and tourism upper facilities can provide an obvious effective impetus to the growth of economy in western regions. Finally, the output of the study can be taken as theoretical evidence for differential policies for policy-makers to promote tourism development of each region, which is of a great benefit for the national tourism industry.
