CAJ | 학술논문

“省直管县”改变了20世纪80年代形成的“市管县”体制，对原有地方政府间治理结构形成实质性重构．但其改革效果预期却引发了广泛争论，原因在于影响“省直管县”改革效果的因素非常复杂。按照“既成事实的程度”与“短时间改变的可能性”两个维度，可以将影响因素分为“客观性影响因素”、“主观性影响因素”、“现实性影响因素”、“期待性影响因素”，以及处于中间状态的“中间因素”。研究发现，除了少数客观现实外，多数影响因素都掺杂着某种期待或主观判断。各个影响因素在各地的分布极不均匀。在复杂多样的因素影响下，改革应根据各地的情况，参考不同的影响因素，全面权衡，分类指导，渐进实施，不宜“一刀切”。
“성직관현”개변료20세기80년대형성적“시관현”체제，대원유지방정부간치리결구형성실질성중구．단기개혁효과예기각인발료엄범쟁론，원인재우영향“성직관현”개혁효과적인소비상복잡。안조“기성사실적정도”여“단시간개변적가능성”량개유도，가이장영향인소분위“객관성영향인소”、“주관성영향인소”、“현실성영향인소”、“기대성영향인소”，이급처우중간상태적“중간인소”。연구발현，제료소수객관현실외，다수영향인소도참잡착모충기대혹주관판단。각개영향인소재각지적분포겁불균균。재복잡다양적인소영향하，개혁응근거각지적정황，삼고불동적영향인소，전면권형，분류지도，점진실시，불의“일도절”。
The Province-Governing-County reform has changed the City-Governing-County system which was formed in 1980s. It substantially reconstituted the original governance structure of local governments, but it has also aroused broad dispute on the prospection of reform effect. The reason is that the influencing factors are very complicated. According to the two dimensions of the degree of established facts and the possibility of change within a short period of time, these influencing factors can be grouped into objective influencing factors, subjective influencing factors, realistic influencing factors, anticipating influencing factors and intermediate factors. The findings show that many influencing factors, except a little amount of objective influencing factors, are mingled with some anticipation or subjective judgment. Since the influencing factors are unevenly distributed, the reform should l~e carried out step by step and follow the classified guidance principle in accordance with different areas. It is inappropriate to adopt the approach of one-size-fits-all.