金融研究
金融研究
금융연구
Journal of Financial Research
2013年
6期
74~88
,共null页
社会保障 经济失衡 投资储蓄失衡
社會保障 經濟失衡 投資儲蓄失衡
사회보장 경제실형 투자저축실형
Social security, Economic imbalance, Saving - invest imbalance
经济失衡的本质是投资储蓄的失衡。社会保障制度的缺失将导致内需不足、投资不足和要素价格压制等一系列问题,从而使政府“被动主导”大规模投资以拉动经济增长,形成“经济拉动型+出口导向型”的畸形经济结构。实证结果表明社会保障水平与投资储蓄率之差显著正相关——社保制度的缺失将导致我国所面临的“投资不足型”失衡问题;当保障超出适度水平之后,将出现一些发达国家所面临的“储蓄不足型”失衡问题。
經濟失衡的本質是投資儲蓄的失衡。社會保障製度的缺失將導緻內需不足、投資不足和要素價格壓製等一繫列問題,從而使政府“被動主導”大規模投資以拉動經濟增長,形成“經濟拉動型+齣口導嚮型”的畸形經濟結構。實證結果錶明社會保障水平與投資儲蓄率之差顯著正相關——社保製度的缺失將導緻我國所麵臨的“投資不足型”失衡問題;噹保障超齣適度水平之後,將齣現一些髮達國傢所麵臨的“儲蓄不足型”失衡問題。
경제실형적본질시투자저축적실형。사회보장제도적결실장도치내수불족、투자불족화요소개격압제등일계렬문제,종이사정부“피동주도”대규모투자이랍동경제증장,형성“경제랍동형+출구도향형”적기형경제결구。실증결과표명사회보장수평여투자저축솔지차현저정상관——사보제도적결실장도치아국소면림적“투자불족형”실형문제;당보장초출괄도수평지후,장출현일사발체국가소면림적“저축불족형”실형문제。
Internal and external imbalances are two sides of the problem of invest - saving imbalanc, e, and social security system is one of the fundamental factors responsible for that. Lacking of social security will lead to a series of problems, such as lagging domestic demand, insufficient private investment and suppressed factors price, etc. Thus, the government has to stimulate public investment and the development of export - oriented economy. The empirical study results confirmed that the social security level and invest - saving gap are positively correlated.