CAJ | 학술논문

特许经营期长短的决定是高速公路BOT特许权经营的一个核心问题。由于在特许经营期的确定直接关系到东道国政府和项目公司的利益分配,如果特许权期限较长,东道国的利益受损;特许权期限较短则会影响项目公司的利益,这都会导致BOT项目的失败。本文分析了一些影响特许权经营期的因素,并分析了这些因素对特许权经营期决策的影响,建立了基于蒙特卡罗方法来确定特许经营期的模型,从而提供了更系统的理论方法来判断和决策BOT项目特许经营期。
특허경영기장단적결정시고속공로BOT특허권경영적일개핵심문제。유우재특허경영기적학정직접관계도동도국정부화항목공사적이익분배,여과특허권기한교장,동도국적이익수손;특허권기한교단칙회영향항목공사적이익,저도회도치BOT항목적실패。본문분석료일사영향특허권경영기적인소,병분석료저사인소대특허권경영기결책적영향,건립료기우몽특잡라방법래학정특허경영기적모형,종이제공료경계통적이론방법래판단화결책BOT항목특허경영기。
concession period length decision is one of the core problems of Expressway BOT concession.In determining the concession period is directly related to the interests of the host government and the item company distribution,if the concession period is longer,the host country＇s interests;the concession period shorter will affect the interests of item company,which will lead to the failure of BOT projects.This paper analyzes some factors affecting the concession period,and analyze the effects of these factors on concession period decision-making,based on the Monte Carlo method to determine the concession period model,the theory method system which provides to judge and decision-making of BOT project concession period.