CAJ | 학술논문

基于扩展的引力模型，笔者利用中国与19个OECD国家和地区的2000年～2008年双边服务贸易和外商直接投资的面板数据，实证研究了中国吸引外资对服务贸易进出口的影响。结果显示：贸易伙伴国对中国的直接投资在一定程度上促进了服务贸易的发展，FDI存量对于服务贸易的促进作用大于FDI流量的促进作用，投资对于服务的进口引致效应大于对服务的出口创造效应。贸易伙伴国的经济发展规模、货物贸易是双边服务贸易流量的促进因素，东道国的服务贸易开放度与其服务出口成正比，相对距离则构成了双方服务贸易的阻力因素。
기우확전적인력모형，필자이용중국여19개OECD국가화지구적2000년～2008년쌍변복무무역화외상직접투자적면판수거，실증연구료중국흡인외자대복무무역진출구적영향。결과현시：무역화반국대중국적직접투자재일정정도상촉진료복무무역적발전，FDI존량대우복무무역적촉진작용대우FDI류량적촉진작용，투자대우복무적진구인치효응대우대복무적출구창조효응。무역화반국적경제발전규모、화물무역시쌍변복무무역류량적촉진인소，동도국적복무무역개방도여기복무출구성정비，상대거리칙구성료쌍방복무무역적조력인소。
Based on the panel data of the bilateral service trade and FDI of China and the 19 OECD countries and regions between 2000 and 2008, the paper analyzes the service trade effects of FDI in China by extended gravity model . Empirical research results indicate that FDI in China promotes the development of service trade. But the stock of FDI promotes service trade greater than FDI flows. Furthermore, FDI promotes service trade imports greater than exports. The size of bilateral trade flow is positively related with each partner＇s economic development and commodity trade, and the openness of host country＇s service trade can promote export of service trade. But the relative distance constitutes the hindering factor to the bilateral trade.