CAJ | 학술논문

产业集聚能否促进技术溢出，国内外学者的实证检验结果存在分歧。本文从人力资本视角研究产业集聚的技术溢出效应，选取中国1986—2011年各省数据，采用门限非线性估计，验证在不同人力资本条件下，空间集聚对全要素生产率增长的门槛效应。实证结果表明，在低人力资本条件下，产业集聚对全要素生产率增长没有影响，当人力资本跨越“门槛值”，产业集聚显著促进全要素生产率增长，且随着人力资本的进一步提高，促进效果明显加强。此外，研究表明产业集聚对全要素生产率增长的影响途径主要是促进技术进步，对于技术效率的影响不明显。
산업집취능부촉진기술일출，국내외학자적실증검험결과존재분기。본문종인력자본시각연구산업집취적기술일출효응，선취중국1986—2011년각성수거，채용문한비선성고계，험증재불동인력자본조건하，공간집취대전요소생산솔증장적문함효응。실증결과표명，재저인력자본조건하，산업집취대전요소생산솔증장몰유영향，당인력자본과월“문함치”，산업집취현저촉진전요소생산솔증장，차수착인력자본적진일보제고，촉진효과명현가강。차외，연구표명산업집취대전요소생산솔증장적영향도경주요시촉진기술진보，대우기술효솔적영향불명현。
There exists divergence of empirical results about whether the industrial agglomeration can pro- mote the technology spillover. This paper analyses the technology spiUover effect of industrial agglomeration from the perspective of human capital. Based on the Chinese provincial data from 1986 to 2011, the paper verifies the threshold effect of spatial agglomeration on the total factor productivity growth under different hu- man capital conditions by using threshold nonlinear estimation. The empirical results show that, the industrial concentration has no effect on total factor productivity growth at a low level of human capital. Once exceeding the ＂threshold value＂ of human capital, the industrial concentration will significantly promote the total factor productivity, and with the further increase of human capital, the effect is particularly obvious. In addition, this paper indicates that, the industrial agglomeration promotes the total factor productivity growth mainly by promoting technological progress rather than technical efficiency.