CAJ | 학술논문

在区域层面分解CO2排放强度下降目标是我国能源经济政策关注的热点问题,也是实现国家＂十二五＂CO2排放强度削减目标的有效途径。基于数据包络分析方法（DEA）,提出一种新的DEA-CEA（DEA based carbon emissions allocation）配额分配模型,该模型将CO2排放配额分配问题视为一种总量受控的资源配置问题,以效率优先为目标,人均公平为约束,将国家排放总量分配给各省。采用2010年数据,基于传统DEA分配模型和DEA-CEA模型分别进行计算,并与2010年实际情况进行对比分析,结果显示：在相同生产水平和减排约束下,DEA-CEA模型分配结果的减排成本更低,减排任务更符合各地区实际情况,从而更有利于地区经济协调发展,地区间分配配额的差距有所减小进而有助于提高减排政策的可执行性。
재구역층면분해CO2배방강도하강목표시아국능원경제정책관주적열점문제,야시실현국가＂십이오＂CO2배방강도삭감목표적유효도경。기우수거포락분석방법 （DEA）,제출일충신적DEA-CEA（DEA based carbon emissions allocation）배액분배모형,해모형장CO2배방배액분배문제시위일충총량수공적자원배치문제,이효솔우선위목표,인균공평위약속,장국가배방총량분배급각성。채용2010년수거,기우전통DEA분배모형화DEA-CEA모형분별진행계산,병여2010년실제정황진행대비분석,결과현시：재상동생산수평화감배약속하,DEA-CEA모형분배결과적감배성본경저,감배임무경부합각지구실제정황,종이경유리우지구경제협조발전,지구간분배배액적차거유소감소진이유조우제고감배정책적가집행성。
The method of achieving the 12th Five-Year Plan’s carbon emission reduction goal becomes an important issue in the field of energy and economic policy.Regional carbon emission allocation is proved to be an effective way to solve this problem.This paper proposes a DEA-CEA（DEA based Carbon Emission Allocation） model for carbon emission allowance allocation in China.The DEA-CEA,which is efficiency-oriented and subjected to population proportion,addresses the problem of distributing the national carbon emission permit among the provinces by treating the permit as a kind of fixed total cost.Both efficiency and fairness are considered in the DEA-CEA model.Two provincial allocation scenarios are proposed based on the data of 2010.The results show that,under the same production level and same emission reduction constraint,the DEA-CEA model has a better performance.Firstly,DEA-CEA model provides an emission reduction scheme with a lower cost.Secondly,such scheme can effectively reflect the characteristics of different regions and balance the regional economic development.Thirdly,the difference on the emission reduction burdens between different regions are reduced under DEA-CEA model,and therefore the related emission reduction policy is more enforceable.