CAJ | 학술논문

通过从政治、经济、社会和技术等方面入手,分析影响广西壮族自治区新闻出版业发展的关键因素,选取广西1981—2010年30年间的地方文科教卫财政支出、人均GDP、城乡收入、在校大学生数、城乡消费、专利申请授权8个指标的年度数据作为样本,对其进行相关性和多重线性检验,采用逐步筛选组合法建立多元回归统计分析模型,结果表明：城乡收入、大学生数和城市消费对新闻出版业有正向促进作用;财政支出、人均GDP和专利授权对新闻出版业起到抑制作用。
통과종정치、경제、사회화기술등방면입수,분석영향엄서장족자치구신문출판업발전적관건인소,선취엄서1981—2010년30년간적지방문과교위재정지출、인균GDP、성향수입、재교대학생수、성향소비、전리신청수권8개지표적년도수거작위양본,대기진행상관성화다중선성검험,채용축보사선조합법건립다원회귀통계분석모형,결과표명：성향수입、대학생수화성시소비대신문출판업유정향촉진작용;재정지출、인균GDP화전리수권대신문출판업기도억제작용。
A survey was made to analyze the key factors in developing news publishing industry in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region in political,economic,social and technological perspectives,by taking annual data of 8 index including financial expenditure of local departments in charge of cultural,educational and hospital development,GDP per capita,urban and rural income,university enrollment,urban and rural consumption,and patent application authorization from 1981 to 2010 as samples to test their correlation and multi linear regression,as well as to set up a multi-regression statistical analysis model through stepwise method.The results show that urban and rural income,university enrollment,urban and rural consumption are positive factors for news publishing industry,while financial expenditure,GDP per capita and patent application authorization are factors to restrain its development.