CAJ | 학술논문

从如何化解中美贸易摩擦的角度考虑如何保持外贸平稳发展的现实问题，采用离散计数模型对1990-2010年影响美国对华反倾销的主要因素进行实证研究。结果显示，美国GDP增长率、美国对华贸易逆差、中美产业内贸易程度是影响中美贸易摩擦的主要原因，而美元对人民币实际汇率则不是影响中芙贸易摩擦的主要原因，并据此从贸易模式转型的角度提出了解决当前中美贸易摩擦的相应对策，有利于我国经济长期的可持续发展。
종여하화해중미무역마찰적각도고필여하보지외무평은발전적현실문제，채용리산계수모형대1990-2010년영향미국대화반경소적주요인소진행실증연구。결과현시，미국GDP증장솔、미국대화무역역차、중미산업내무역정도시영향중미무역마찰적주요원인，이미원대인민폐실제회솔칙불시영향중부무역마찰적주요원인，병거차종무역모식전형적각도제출료해결당전중미무역마찰적상응대책，유리우아국경제장기적가지속발전。
From the point of view of how to resolve the Sino - US trade friction, this paper consider the real problem of how to maintain the stable development of foreign trade studys the main factors which had influenced the U. S. anti -dumping towards China during the years 1990 -2010 with discrete counting model. The result shows that the main reasons influencing Sino - US trade friction are the GDP growth of U. S. , the trade deficit with China of U.S. and Sino - US intra - industry trade level, hut the the real exchange rate of dollar against the Reuminbi is not the main factor. Countermeasures to solve the current Siuo - US trade friction, which from the angle of the transformation of the pattern of trade is conducive to China＇s long -term sustainable economic development.