CAJ | 학술논문

运用协整检验和VAR模型,分析技术进步、产业结构和碳排放量的相关性。结果表明：能源产业技术进步率、第三产业构成率,国内生产总值增长率和碳排放量之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系。技术进步率和产业结构的变动对碳排放有较显著的调整作用。我国应加快科技进步的速度,发展能耗低科技含量高的现代服务业。
운용협정검험화VAR모형,분석기술진보、산업결구화탄배방량적상관성。결과표명：능원산업기술진보솔、제삼산업구성솔,국내생산총치증장솔화탄배방량지간존재장기은정적균형관계。기술진보솔화산업결구적변동대탄배방유교현저적조정작용。아국응가쾌과기진보적속도,발전능모저과기함량고적현대복무업。
Abstract： According to the co- integration test and VAR model of energy innovation, carbon emissions an（] economic growth were made on the correlation of the empirical analysis. The results showed that China＇s carbon emission, energy industry technology innovation rate, the third industry rate and GDP growth rates have a long - term stable relationship. Now the third industry must be quickly increase proportion in the ha- tional economy, especially the positive development of low energy consumption and high added value of the modern service industry speed up the construction of energy saving type transformation.