CAJ | 학술논문

本研究采用中国健康与营养调查1989-2009年的追踪数据,使用多层线性交互分类模型估计了全国教育收益率的总体变化趋势,并通过引入宏观经济发展指标来考察教育收益率变化的影响因素。结果表明,21世纪以来全国教育收益率并没有延续以往快速稳定增长的势头,中国市场转型过程中的制度变革和经济结构变化对教育收益率的变动都有显著影响。由于我国城乡分割的二元经济结构,本研究还比较了城镇和农村地区教育收益率变动趋势的差异,农村地区教育收益率先高后低反映了我国先农村后城市的改革开放进程。
본연구채용중국건강여영양조사1989-2009년적추종수거,사용다층선성교호분류모형고계료전국교육수익솔적총체변화추세,병통과인입굉관경제발전지표래고찰교육수익솔변화적영향인소。결과표명,21세기이래전국교육수익솔병몰유연속이왕쾌속은정증장적세두,중국시장전형과정중적제도변혁화경제결구변화대교육수익솔적변동도유현저영향。유우아국성향분할적이원경제결구,본연구환비교료성진화농촌지구교육수익솔변동추세적차이,농촌지구교육수익솔선고후저반영료아국선농촌후성시적개혁개방진정。
The level of market transition of China could be reflected by the long-term trends in rates of returns to education.By making use of panel data collected by CHNS project from 1989 to 2009,this study applied cross-classified multilevel model to estimate the trend of national rates of returns to education,and take macro economic development index into consideration to study the factors influencing the rate of return to education change.The results indicated that,since the beginning of this century,the national education rate did not extend the rapid and stable growth,and the institutional changes and economic development had significant effects on the change in rates of returns to education.Due to China＇s urban-rural split dual economic structure,it compares the differences of returns to education between rural and urban in China.The return to education in rural areas is from high to low,which reflects the ＂first rural then urban＂ process of reform and opening up.