上海财经大学学报:哲学社会科学版
上海財經大學學報:哲學社會科學版
상해재경대학학보:철학사회과학판
Journal of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
2013年
4期
73~80
,共null页
财政科技投入 劳动报酬 产业结构 CGE
財政科技投入 勞動報酬 產業結構 CGE
재정과기투입 노동보수 산업결구 CGE
fiscal R&D input; labor income; industrial structure; CGE
我国各产业的劳动报酬占比具有非均衡的特征,政府的公共政策对于产业发展具有较大的影响。在创新驱动、实施科教兴国和人才强国战略的大背景下,观察财政科技投入对产业结构调整的影响具有重要意义。本文构建了一个在复杂现实背景下用于分析财政科技投入对劳动报酬和产业结构影响的CGE模型,模拟在人口城镇化过程中科技投入指标分步骤达到发达国家水平的情形下各产业劳动报酬、增加值、就业等经济指标的变化。结果显示:财政科技投入对劳动报酬占比尤其是第三产业的劳动报酬占比具有显著的正向促进作用,对于住宿和餐饮等需要升级的劳动密集型产业部门的影响尤其明显。同时发现,科技投入对于产业结构重心向第三产业转移具有明显的影响。
我國各產業的勞動報酬佔比具有非均衡的特徵,政府的公共政策對于產業髮展具有較大的影響。在創新驅動、實施科教興國和人纔彊國戰略的大揹景下,觀察財政科技投入對產業結構調整的影響具有重要意義。本文構建瞭一箇在複雜現實揹景下用于分析財政科技投入對勞動報酬和產業結構影響的CGE模型,模擬在人口城鎮化過程中科技投入指標分步驟達到髮達國傢水平的情形下各產業勞動報酬、增加值、就業等經濟指標的變化。結果顯示:財政科技投入對勞動報酬佔比尤其是第三產業的勞動報酬佔比具有顯著的正嚮促進作用,對于住宿和餐飲等需要升級的勞動密集型產業部門的影響尤其明顯。同時髮現,科技投入對于產業結構重心嚮第三產業轉移具有明顯的影響。
아국각산업적노동보수점비구유비균형적특정,정부적공공정책대우산업발전구유교대적영향。재창신구동、실시과교흥국화인재강국전략적대배경하,관찰재정과기투입대산업결구조정적영향구유중요의의。본문구건료일개재복잡현실배경하용우분석재정과기투입대노동보수화산업결구영향적CGE모형,모의재인구성진화과정중과기투입지표분보취체도발체국가수평적정형하각산업노동보수、증가치、취업등경제지표적변화。결과현시:재정과기투입대노동보수점비우기시제삼산업적노동보수점비구유현저적정향촉진작용,대우주숙화찬음등수요승급적노동밀집형산업부문적영향우기명현。동시발현,과기투입대우산업결구중심향제삼산업전이구유명현적영향。
The labor share between industries in China is featured by imbalance, and govern- ment industrial policy has great effects on industrial development. Under the innovation-driven background with the strategy of invigorating China through science and education and talents, the study of the effect of fiscal R&D input on the adjustment to industrial structure is of great signifi- cance. This paper constructs a CGE model to analyze the effects of fiscal R&D input on labor share and industrial structure in the context of complex reality, and simulates the changes in economic indexes such as labor income, value added and employment in the case that the fis- cal input index step-by-step reaches the levels of developed countries in the urbanization process. It shows that fiscal R&D input plays a positive role in the increase in labor share, especially in the tertiary industry, and has particularly obvious effects on labor-intensive in- dustrial sectors needing to upgrade like lodging and catering industries. It also indicates that fiscal R&D input has clear effects on the transformation of the core of industrial structure to the tertiary industrv.