CAJ | 학술논문

本文基于生产率和效率的内涵界定,探讨了能源生产率、能源效率及变化率的衡量指标,指出若要度量能源利用的动态变化情况,生产率增长指标比效率改进指标更为合适;同时全要素框架下测算能源生产率增长率（即全要素能源生产率增长率）应比单要素能源生产率增长率更能准确反映能源生产率变动情况。通过将这两个指标用于2000~2010年能源生产率增长情况,本文发现两者在反映能源生产率增长率的纵向变化趋势时基本一致,但在横向比较时有一定差别。本文还发现受经济周期和政策环境变动的影响,2000~2010年我国全要素能源生产率增长率的演化趋势可分为4个阶段。最后,利用计量模型考察全要素能源生产率增长率的影响因素,并对在＂五年规划＂纳入节能指标对能源生产率的影响进行定量评估。
본문기우생산솔화효솔적내함계정,탐토료능원생산솔、능원효솔급변화솔적형량지표,지출약요도량능원이용적동태변화정황,생산솔증장지표비효솔개진지표경위합괄;동시전요소광가하측산능원생산솔증장솔（즉전요소능원생산솔증장솔）응비단요소능원생산솔증장솔경능준학반영능원생산솔변동정황。통과장저량개지표용우2000~2010년능원생산솔증장정황,본문발현량자재반영능원생산솔증장솔적종향변화추세시기본일치,단재횡향비교시유일정차별。본문환발현수경제주기화정책배경변동적영향,2000~2010년아국전요소능원생산솔증장솔적연화추세가분위4개계단。최후,이용계량모형고찰전요소능원생산솔증장솔적영향인소,병대재＂오년규화＂납입절능지표대능원생산솔적영향진행정량평고。
Based on the definition of energy productivity, this paper discusses which indicator is suitable for the evaluation of the growth rate of energy productivity. Then, we calculate China＇s Total - Factor Energy Productivity Change Index （TFEPI） from 2000 - 2010 and compare with single - factor energy productivity change indicator. We find that the latter one might result in bias while monitoring China＇s change of energy productivity when for provincial comparing. The change in China＇s TFEPI since 2000 can be split into 4 stages, which is highly related to economic cycle and policy intervene. Our econometric analysis focuses on the determinants of TFEPI, which shows that the increasing electricity share of energy consumption and growth rate of the tertiary industry will improve TFEPI performance, while increasing the proportion of GDP generated by the secondary industry deteriorates TFEPI. Besides, the effect of integrating the energy - saving indicator into ＂Five- Year Plan＂ on promoting TFEPI is confirmed by our econometric analysis.