河北经贸大学学报
河北經貿大學學報
하북경무대학학보
Journal Of Hebei University Of Economics and Trade
2013年
5期
95~98
,共null页
“国十条” 房地产 干预政策 房地产泡沫 消费性需求 投资性需求 保障房 居民消费价值指数
“國十條” 房地產 榦預政策 房地產泡沫 消費性需求 投資性需求 保障房 居民消費價值指數
“국십조” 방지산 간예정책 방지산포말 소비성수구 투자성수구 보장방 거민소비개치지수
national ten-policy; the real estate; intervention policy; real estate bubble; consumer demand; the investment demand; affordable housing; household consumption value index
自1998年房地产改革以来,我国房地产价格出现加速上涨的态势。为了抑制房地产泡沫的形成,国家出台了一系列的干预政策。以2010年“国十条”为例,利用全国与典型城市的数据检验干预政策的长期效果与短期效果可知,每条房地产干预政策的出台短期内会造成人们不知所措、急于购房,长期则会回归理性。因此,应继续加大对房地产的干预力度,抑制房地产泡沫的形成,同时还要注意干预政策的有效宣传,避免购房者心理及房价的过渡波动。
自1998年房地產改革以來,我國房地產價格齣現加速上漲的態勢。為瞭抑製房地產泡沫的形成,國傢齣檯瞭一繫列的榦預政策。以2010年“國十條”為例,利用全國與典型城市的數據檢驗榦預政策的長期效果與短期效果可知,每條房地產榦預政策的齣檯短期內會造成人們不知所措、急于購房,長期則會迴歸理性。因此,應繼續加大對房地產的榦預力度,抑製房地產泡沫的形成,同時還要註意榦預政策的有效宣傳,避免購房者心理及房價的過渡波動。
자1998년방지산개혁이래,아국방지산개격출현가속상창적태세。위료억제방지산포말적형성,국가출태료일계렬적간예정책。이2010년“국십조”위례,이용전국여전형성시적수거검험간예정책적장기효과여단기효과가지,매조방지산간예정책적출태단기내회조성인문불지소조、급우구방,장기칙회회귀이성。인차,응계속가대대방지산적간예력도,억제방지산포말적형성,동시환요주의간예정책적유효선전,피면구방자심리급방개적과도파동。
The real estate price in our country appears accelerating since real estate reformed in 1998. Our government practiced a series polices to restrain the real estate bubbles. Taking "the national ten-policy" in 2010 as an example, using the typical data of the whole country and typical cities in China to inspect long-term effects and short-term effects of the intervention policy, we can see each real estate intervention policy will cause people overwhelmed in the short term, eager to buy houses, will return to the ration for the long term. Therefore, we should continuely increase the intervention intensity of the real estate, inhibit the formation of the real estate bubble, also pay attention to the effective promotion, and avoid buyers" psychological and transitional fluctuations in prices.