CAJ | 학술논문

基于1991-2011年河北省港口货物吞吐量和外贸进出口货物总额之间的定量关系，通过VAR模型对两者之间的关系进行实证研究，得出结论：河北省港口物流的发展和对外贸易之间相互促进，并且港口物流的发展对对外贸易的短期作用明显，而对外贸易对港口物流的短期作用不明显，彼此之间的长期促进作用非常明显；港口物流的发展对外贸的依赖程度要远远大干外贸对港口物流的依赖程度。为此，应提高港口设施的现代化水平，发展加工贸易，建立临港工业群等。
기우1991-2011년하북성항구화물탄토량화외무진출구화물총액지간적정량관계，통과VAR모형대량자지간적관계진행실증연구，득출결론：하북성항구물류적발전화대외무역지간상호촉진，병차항구물류적발전대대외무역적단기작용명현，이대외무역대항구물류적단기작용불명현，피차지간적장기촉진작용비상명현；항구물류적발전대외무적의뢰정도요원원대간외무대항구물류적의뢰정도。위차，응제고항구설시적현대화수평，발전가공무역，건립림항공업군등。
Based on the empirical analysis on the quantitative relationship between port logistics and foreign trade of Hebei province by the VAR model, we can get the conclusion that there are mutual promotion between the development of port logistics in Hebei province and foreign trade, the improvement of modern port logistics has instant effect on foreign trade, but the opposite does not have this instant effect. The long-term promotion function between each other is very obvious. The dependence of port logistics development on foreign trade is far greater than the foreign traders dependence on port logistics. Therefore, we should improve the modernization level of port facilities, develop the processing trade, build harbor industrial group, etc.