CAJ | 학술논문

利用1997--2009年我国30个省（自治区、直辖市）的面板数据，采用Hansen提出的面板门槛模型，以市场化水平为门槛变量，研究了FDI对区域国际贸易的影响。研究表明：FDI对国际贸易的影响显著具有基于市场化水平的“双门槛效应”；东部沿海地区省份的市场化水平高、吸收的FDI数量大、国际贸易发展水平较高，西部地区省份的情况与此正好相反，中部地区的情况介于东部地区和西部地区之间；在控制了金融发展水平、人力资本水平、人均收入水平和政府优惠政策的影响后，市场化水平的提高在一定程度上会推动国际贸易发展。最后提出简要的对策建议。
이용1997--2009년아국30개성（자치구、직할시）적면판수거，채용Hansen제출적면판문함모형，이시장화수평위문함변량，연구료FDI대구역국제무역적영향。연구표명：FDI대국제무역적영향현저구유기우시장화수평적“쌍문함효응”；동부연해지구성빈적시장화수평고、흡수적FDI수량대、국제무역발전수평교고，서부지구성빈적정황여차정호상반，중부지구적정황개우동부지구화서부지구지간；재공제료금융발전수평、인력자본수평、인균수입수평화정부우혜정책적영향후，시장화수평적제고재일정정도상회추동국제무역발전。최후제출간요적대책건의。
Using the panel data of 30 provincial units in China from 1997 to 2009,this paper uses the threshold model given by Hansen to explore the impact of foreign direct investment（FDI） on regional international trade through taking marketization level as the threshold variable. The result shows as follows zthere exists the significant double threshold effeet of FDI＇s impact on international trade based on marketization level;because of the high marketization level and the abundant FDI,the international trade level of eastern coastal provinces is relatively high, hut that of western provinces is just opposite,and that of middle provinces falls in between them;in the case of controlling the impacts of finan- cial development level, human eapital level, average personal income level and favorable government policy, the enhancement of marketization level could push the development of international trade. Finally,it puts forward some suggestions.