中国人口资源与环境
中國人口資源與環境
중국인구자원여배경
China Polulation.Resources and Environment
2013年
9期
100~106
,共null页
粮食补贴政策 作用路径 产量效应
糧食補貼政策 作用路徑 產量效應
양식보첩정책 작용로경 산량효응
grain subsidy policy; action path; yield effect
粮食补贴政策是国家重要的农业支持政策。粮食补贴政策的重要目标之一是提高农民种粮积极性，促进粮食增产，确保国家粮食安全．然而粮食补贴政策的实施效果能否达到理论的预期效果一直存在较大争议。本文首先基于农户行为经济学理论，构建农户生产决策行为理论模型。考察补贴政策对农户粮食生产投入行为的影响，明晰粮食补贴政策的作用路径：然后基于粮食主产区安徽省的农户实地调查数据。构建扩展的Cobb-Douglass生产函数测算粮食补贴政策对农户粮食增产的贡献。据此实证检验粮食补贴政策的产量效应。实证结果显示。粮食补贴政策可以通过影响农户的种植决策行为和投资决策行为来影响农户的粮食生产行为，实证检验了粮食补贴政策的作用路径。并且进一步研究发现，粮食补贴政策对促进粮食增产的潜力和空间很大，亩均粮食补贴水平提高1％，将使农户的粮食产量增量提高0．056％。据此本文提出了加大粮食补贴力度、加强农资价格市场监管以及加快土地流转、粮食补贴政策向种粮大户倾斜等政策建议。
糧食補貼政策是國傢重要的農業支持政策。糧食補貼政策的重要目標之一是提高農民種糧積極性，促進糧食增產，確保國傢糧食安全．然而糧食補貼政策的實施效果能否達到理論的預期效果一直存在較大爭議。本文首先基于農戶行為經濟學理論，構建農戶生產決策行為理論模型。攷察補貼政策對農戶糧食生產投入行為的影響，明晰糧食補貼政策的作用路徑：然後基于糧食主產區安徽省的農戶實地調查數據。構建擴展的Cobb-Douglass生產函數測算糧食補貼政策對農戶糧食增產的貢獻。據此實證檢驗糧食補貼政策的產量效應。實證結果顯示。糧食補貼政策可以通過影響農戶的種植決策行為和投資決策行為來影響農戶的糧食生產行為，實證檢驗瞭糧食補貼政策的作用路徑。併且進一步研究髮現，糧食補貼政策對促進糧食增產的潛力和空間很大，畝均糧食補貼水平提高1％，將使農戶的糧食產量增量提高0．056％。據此本文提齣瞭加大糧食補貼力度、加彊農資價格市場鑑管以及加快土地流轉、糧食補貼政策嚮種糧大戶傾斜等政策建議。
양식보첩정책시국가중요적농업지지정책。양식보첩정책적중요목표지일시제고농민충량적겁성，촉진양식증산，학보국가양식안전．연이양식보첩정책적실시효과능부체도이론적예기효과일직존재교대쟁의。본문수선기우농호행위경제학이론，구건농호생산결책행위이론모형。고찰보첩정책대농호양식생산투입행위적영향，명석양식보첩정책적작용로경：연후기우양식주산구안휘성적농호실지조사수거。구건확전적Cobb-Douglass생산함수측산양식보첩정책대농호양식증산적공헌。거차실증검험양식보첩정책적산량효응。실증결과현시。양식보첩정책가이통과영향농호적충식결책행위화투자결책행위래영향농호적양식생산행위，실증검험료양식보첩정책적작용로경。병차진일보연구발현，양식보첩정책대촉진양식증산적잠력화공간흔대，무균양식보첩수평제고1％，장사농호적양식산량증량제고0．056％。거차본문제출료가대양식보첩력도、가강농자개격시장감관이급가쾌토지류전、양식보첩정책향충량대호경사등정책건의。
As one of important national agricultural support policies, one of imporant goals of grain subsidy policy is to improve farmers＇ enthusiasm for growing grain and increase grain production to ensure national food security; however, implementing whether can achieve the desired effect by is a great controversy. Based on the theory of farmer behavior economics, this paper constructs theory model of farmers＇ production decision behavior which subsidy policy is embedded in, studies the effect of grain subsidy policy on farmer＇s production behavior to show the action path of grain subsidy policy; then, the paper constructs extended Cobb-Douglass production function to estimate grain subsidy policy＇ s contribution for promoting grain production and empirically test the production effect of grain subsidy policy on the basis of farmer survey data in Anhui Province. The resuhs show that grain subsidy policy can influence farmer＇s planting decision and investment decision to affect farmers＇ grain production, and empirically test the grain subsidy policy action path. Furthermore, grain subsidy policy has large potential and space to promote grain production. 1% increase of subsidy per mu will make farmer grain yield improve 0.056%. Therefore, this paper gives some suggestions including increasing grain subsidies, strengthening agricultural market prices regulation, accelerating land circulation and tilting to large grain planting farmers.
