经济经纬
經濟經緯
경제경위
Economic Survey
2013年
5期
1~6
,共null页
环境库兹列茨曲线 经济增长 城市化 环境污染 联立非线性算法
環境庫玆列茨麯線 經濟增長 城市化 環境汙染 聯立非線性算法
배경고자렬자곡선 경제증장 성시화 배경오염 련립비선성산법
Environmental Kuznets Curve ; Economic Growth ; Urbanization ; Environmental Pollution ; Simultaneous Nonlinear Esti-mation
城市化是EKC的形成机制之一,突出体现为资本要素在工业化和城市扩张过程中通过城市这一载体所形成的空间集聚对于经济增长和环境污染排放产生了非线性的增速效应,最终使得经济增长与环境污染之间表现出曲线式的非线性趋势,二者的相对变化具有倒u型环境库兹列茨曲线特征,而人口城镇化则没有使得消费与污染排放之间形成这种非线性趋势。笔者基于2000年~2009年省区面板数据,在联立方程体系下考察了环境、城市化与经济发展三者之间的正反馈关系。研究表明,实施环境友好型的城市化战略,特别是人口城镇化是实现可持续发展的核心举措。
城市化是EKC的形成機製之一,突齣體現為資本要素在工業化和城市擴張過程中通過城市這一載體所形成的空間集聚對于經濟增長和環境汙染排放產生瞭非線性的增速效應,最終使得經濟增長與環境汙染之間錶現齣麯線式的非線性趨勢,二者的相對變化具有倒u型環境庫玆列茨麯線特徵,而人口城鎮化則沒有使得消費與汙染排放之間形成這種非線性趨勢。筆者基于2000年~2009年省區麵闆數據,在聯立方程體繫下攷察瞭環境、城市化與經濟髮展三者之間的正反饋關繫。研究錶明,實施環境友好型的城市化戰略,特彆是人口城鎮化是實現可持續髮展的覈心舉措。
성시화시EKC적형성궤제지일,돌출체현위자본요소재공업화화성시확장과정중통과성시저일재체소형성적공간집취대우경제증장화배경오염배방산생료비선성적증속효응,최종사득경제증장여배경오염지간표현출곡선식적비선성추세,이자적상대변화구유도u형배경고자렬자곡선특정,이인구성진화칙몰유사득소비여오염배방지간형성저충비선성추세。필자기우2000년~2009년성구면판수거,재련립방정체계하고찰료배경、성시화여경제발전삼자지간적정반궤관계。연구표명,실시배경우호형적성시화전략,특별시인구성진화시실현가지속발전적핵심거조。
Urbanization is one of the formation mechanisms of EKC, highlighted for the spatial agglomeration of capital element through the process of industrialization and urban expansion, which produces a nonlinear acceleration effect of growth and environmental pollu-tion, and makes nonlinear trends of Logistic-type growth curve between economic growth and environmental pollution. The relative changes between economic growth and environmental pollution has the characteristics of inverted U-EKC, but the urbanization does not make such a nonlinear trend between the consumption and pollution emissions. Using the system of simultaneous equations based on the provincial data from 2000 to 2009, this paper examines the positive feedback relationship among the environment, urbanization and economic development, and demonstrates that the implementation of environmental-friendly urbanization strategy is the core of achieving sustainable development initiatives.