CAJ | 학술논문

笔者从经济增长理论出发，结合RBC理论与国际技术扩散理论，利用我国与主要贸易投资伙伴1990年～2010年的数据，实证分析了技术溢出、自主创新与我国经济波动的关系。研究发现：在不考虑吸收能力时，对我国经济波动影响最大的是FDI渠道的技术溢出，来自FDI的技术冲击能够减轻我国经济的波动；其次是进口渠道的技术溢出，然而通过进口渠道溢出的技术会加速我国经济波动；国内的技术创新对本国经济波动影响最小，而且影响为负。
필자종경제증장이론출발，결합RBC이론여국제기술확산이론，이용아국여주요무역투자화반1990년～2010년적수거，실증분석료기술일출、자주창신여아국경제파동적관계。연구발현：재불고필흡수능력시，대아국경제파동영향최대적시FDI거도적기술일출，래자FDI적기술충격능구감경아국경제적파동；기차시진구거도적기술일출，연이통과진구거도일출적기술회가속아국경제파동；국내적기술창신대본국경제파동영향최소，이차영향위부。
This paper empirically analyzes the relationship among technology spillover, independent innovation and economic fluctua tion relation in China by economic growth theory with the trade data from 1990 to 2010. It is found that the technology spillover from FDI affects on China＇ s economic fluctuation mostly, and the technical impact from the FDI can reduce China＇ s economy fluctuation without considering the absorption capability; the technology spillover from import accelerates economic fluctuations in China; the do mestic technology innovation has minimal effect on economic fluctuation with negative effect. Considering the absorption capability, all variables remains with the original. The impulse response function and variance decomposition results basically support the conclusion.