CAJ | 학술논문

该文以人均GDP为基础指标，从绝对和相对两个角度对南北疆区域经济发展差距的现状进行描述分析，通过对贸易因素如何影响新疆区域经济发展差距进行回归分析发现：贸易规模对新疆区域经济发展差距影响最大，其次是贸易方式和贸易结构；贸易规模与新疆区域经济发展差距存在正相关性，进出口贸易额每增加一个百分点，区域经济发展差距增加4．95个百分点；边境小额贸易、初级产品贸易与新疆区域经济发展差距存在负相关性，边境小额贸易进出口额、初级产品出口额每增加一个百分点，区域经济发展差距分别减少3．61个百分点和0．26个百分点。基于此，提出从扩大南疆贸易规模、调整贸易方式、优化贸易结构三方面缩小区域经济发展差距。
해문이인균GDP위기출지표，종절대화상대량개각도대남북강구역경제발전차거적현상진행묘술분석，통과대무역인소여하영향신강구역경제발전차거진행회귀분석발현：무역규모대신강구역경제발전차거영향최대，기차시무역방식화무역결구；무역규모여신강구역경제발전차거존재정상관성，진출구무역액매증가일개백분점，구역경제발전차거증가4．95개백분점；변경소액무역、초급산품무역여신강구역경제발전차거존재부상관성，변경소액무역진출구액、초급산품출구액매증가일개백분점，구역경제발전차거분별감소3．61개백분점화0．26개백분점。기우차，제출종확대남강무역규모、조정무역방식、우화무역결구삼방면축소구역경제발전차거。
Based on indicators of GDP per capita,this paper describes the status of the gap in the southern and northern regional economic development from both absolute and relative perspectives. By establis- hing a regression model to quantitative and qualitative analysis of the trade factors on the regional eco- nomic development gap in Xinjiang,we find that trade scale exerts the greatest effects on the gap of the regional economic development, followed by trade mode and trade structure, and there is a positive corre- lation between trade scale and the regional economic development gap, and if import and export trade vol- ume increases by 1 %, then the gap will accordingly increase by 4.95 % and there exists negative correla- tivity between petty trade in the border areas,the primary products trade and the gap of Xinjiang region- al economy development. If petty trade value of export and import in the border areas and primary prod- uct export increases by 1%,the regional economies development gap will cut down 3.61% and 0.26% respectively. In view of this finding, we suggest that through expanding the trade scale of south Xinjiang, adjusting the changes in trade patterns,and optimizing trade structure will narrow the regional economic development gap in Xinjiang.