CAJ | 학술논문

本文在构建1999--2010年中国29个省区市能源产业面板数据的基础上，应用Malmquist—DEA方法，对中国能源产业的生产率、技术进步、技术效率的增长来源、差异与变化趋势进行了实证分析。结果表明，考察期内中国各地区能源产业平均的全要素生产率呈下降趋势，技术进步是生产率提高的决定因素，全要素生产率的提高对于技术进步的依赖是非常明显的，但是中国能源产业全要素生产率的增长主要来源于规模效率而不是技术效率。此外，各地区的技术效率存在显著的条件收敛，但不存在显著的绝对收敛；技术进步既存在条件收敛，也存在着绝对发散。因此，我国各省份能源产业的生产率将不能实现最终趋同。
본문재구건1999--2010년중국29개성구시능원산업면판수거적기출상，응용Malmquist—DEA방법，대중국능원산업적생산솔、기술진보、기술효솔적증장래원、차이여변화추세진행료실증분석。결과표명，고찰기내중국각지구능원산업평균적전요소생산솔정하강추세，기술진보시생산솔제고적결정인소，전요소생산솔적제고대우기술진보적의뢰시비상명현적，단시중국능원산업전요소생산솔적증장주요래원우규모효솔이불시기술효솔。차외，각지구적기술효솔존재현저적조건수렴，단불존재현저적절대수렴；기술진보기존재조건수렴，야존재착절대발산。인차，아국각성빈능원산업적생산솔장불능실현최종추동。
This paper applied DEA-Malmquist index approach to measure the total factor productivity （TFP） change of China energy industry with panel data of 29 provinces from 1999 to 2010, which included technical efficiency index and technical progress index. TFP of energy industry was decreasing during the sample period, and the main cause of TFP growth was the advance of technical progress, while technical efficiency change deteriorated the productivity. In addition, there are significant condition convergence for the technical efficiency in all regions in China, but no significant absolute convergence. There is not only conditional convergence, but also absolute divergence for technological progress. Hence, the energy industry for China＇s productivity in the various provinces will not achieve the ultimate convergence.