经济管理
經濟管理
경제관리
Economic Management Journal(EMJ)
2013年
10期
119~129
,共null页
旅游再消费 需求弹性 旅游环境感知 离散选择模型
旅遊再消費 需求彈性 旅遊環境感知 離散選擇模型
여유재소비 수구탄성 여유배경감지 리산선택모형
tourism re-consumption; elasticity of demand; tourism environment perception; discrete choice models
将旅游消费从食、住、行、游、购、娱旅游六要素角度划分为基本旅游消费和非基本旅游消费是目前旅游经济学的一个基本理论观点,然而,十几年来,国内经济迅速发展,消费者需求层次提高,上述经典观点在学界和业界是否依然成立,需要做更多的审视。本文的主要贡献在于:(1)梳理和汲取已有学者理论思想,从需求弹性的角度将旅游消费拆解为缺乏弹性旅游消费和富有弹性旅游消费,对应形成旅游基本消费和旅游再消费两个概念,本文立足于旅游活动中的再消费问题,重点从三个方面分析了旅游再消费的特殊性以及研究旅游再消费的重要意义;(2)从理论上分析影响旅游再消费行为的因素,借鉴消费者行为理论,重点分析了旅游者的旅游环境感知因素对旅游再消费行为的影响,构建了影响旅游者旅游再消费行为的理论模型;(3)以2012年12月在厦门鼓浪屿景区采集到的第一手数据为基础,构建了一个二分类Logistic离散选择回归模型,模型验证了旅游者的人口统计学因素、旅游者对目的地景区的环境感知因素以及旅游者的出行特征相关因素在5%置信度下显著影响旅游再消费行为。同时,该模型具有较好的预测功能,准确率达到81.41%。最后总结了本研究的理论意义和实践意义,并指出下一步的研究方向。
將旅遊消費從食、住、行、遊、購、娛旅遊六要素角度劃分為基本旅遊消費和非基本旅遊消費是目前旅遊經濟學的一箇基本理論觀點,然而,十幾年來,國內經濟迅速髮展,消費者需求層次提高,上述經典觀點在學界和業界是否依然成立,需要做更多的審視。本文的主要貢獻在于:(1)梳理和伋取已有學者理論思想,從需求彈性的角度將旅遊消費拆解為缺乏彈性旅遊消費和富有彈性旅遊消費,對應形成旅遊基本消費和旅遊再消費兩箇概唸,本文立足于旅遊活動中的再消費問題,重點從三箇方麵分析瞭旅遊再消費的特殊性以及研究旅遊再消費的重要意義;(2)從理論上分析影響旅遊再消費行為的因素,藉鑒消費者行為理論,重點分析瞭旅遊者的旅遊環境感知因素對旅遊再消費行為的影響,構建瞭影響旅遊者旅遊再消費行為的理論模型;(3)以2012年12月在廈門鼓浪嶼景區採集到的第一手數據為基礎,構建瞭一箇二分類Logistic離散選擇迴歸模型,模型驗證瞭旅遊者的人口統計學因素、旅遊者對目的地景區的環境感知因素以及旅遊者的齣行特徵相關因素在5%置信度下顯著影響旅遊再消費行為。同時,該模型具有較好的預測功能,準確率達到81.41%。最後總結瞭本研究的理論意義和實踐意義,併指齣下一步的研究方嚮。
장여유소비종식、주、행、유、구、오여유륙요소각도화분위기본여유소비화비기본여유소비시목전여유경제학적일개기본이론관점,연이,십궤년래,국내경제신속발전,소비자수구층차제고,상술경전관점재학계화업계시부의연성립,수요주경다적심시。본문적주요공헌재우:(1)소리화급취이유학자이론사상,종수구탄성적각도장여유소비탁해위결핍탄성여유소비화부유탄성여유소비,대응형성여유기본소비화여유재소비량개개념,본문립족우여유활동중적재소비문제,중점종삼개방면분석료여유재소비적특수성이급연구여유재소비적중요의의;(2)종이론상분석영향여유재소비행위적인소,차감소비자행위이론,중점분석료여유자적여유배경감지인소대여유재소비행위적영향,구건료영향여유자여유재소비행위적이론모형;(3)이2012년12월재하문고랑서경구채집도적제일수수거위기출,구건료일개이분류Logistic리산선택회귀모형,모형험증료여유자적인구통계학인소、여유자대목적지경구적배경감지인소이급여유자적출행특정상관인소재5%치신도하현저영향여유재소비행위。동시,해모형구유교호적예측공능,준학솔체도81.41%。최후총결료본연구적이론의의화실천의의,병지출하일보적연구방향。
Domestic and international academic research for tourism consumption in the macro level and micro level usually take tourism consumption as a whole object or simply divide the tourism consumption into basic and non-basic tourism consumption from the aspects in accommodation, catering, toll transportation and sightseeing. The existing research lacks a deep analysis of classification in tourism consumption. Not to mention use the modern econ- ometric methods to verify the tourism consumption theory in empirical area. World Tourism Organization defines the tourism consumption as the mixes of tourism behavior and buying be- havior in all traveling process. In the domestic, there are broad concept and narrow concept about tourism consump- tion. The broad concept is consistent with the definition of the WTO. The narrow concept includes only the six main factors of travel. In empirical studies,it is usually bard to get the data of the buying behavior over the whole tourism process. Over the past decades, the domestic economy got a rapid growth. The customer's level of consumption signif- icantly increased. They incline to choose the consumption of higher enjoyment in the tourism process. For example, they incline to consume the high-class accommodation, catering and more comfortable transportation vehicles. So the above classification definition is no longer suitable. Analyzing the existing research and drawing ideas from the Frederick Herzberg's Two Factor Theory, We divide the tourism consumption into low elasticity and high elasticity from the perspective of elasticity of demand. By this decomposition, we accordingly form the concepts of basic tourism consumption and tourism re-consumption which is different from the above traditional classification. The basic tourism consumption refers to the tourism product with low elasticity to the customers. Leaving this kind of consumption, tourism activities will not be completed and tourism purposes cannot be achieved (This is similar to tile Two-Factor Theory' s Hygiene factors). The tourism re- consumption refers to the tourism product with high elasticity to the customers. Leaving the tourism re-consumption, tourists can still complete their tourism activities and meet the basic purpose of travel. But the second part has some specialities of its own. It can significantly increase the consumption of tourists, promote tourists' experience pleasure, give tourists a deeper impression and has a good word of mouth effects (This is similar to the two-factor theory in motivating factor). On the other way, tourism re-consumption can significantly increase tourism revenues, and stimu- late domestic consumption. Thus in this paper we focus on the research of tourism re-consumption. We summarize three main category factors theoretically. They are demographic factors of tourist, the environ- mental perception of the tourists and the travel characteristics of tourists. We then constructed the relationship model between these factors and the tourism re-consumption behavior. In the empirical part, we use the first-hand data col- lected by Xiamen University School of Management Department In December 2012, and verify the influence of the factors to the tourism re-consumption behavior. The empirical model we choose has a good predictive capability and the accuracy rate is of 81.41%. Empirical data also shows that the demographic factors of tourist, the environmental perception factors and the travel character- istics of tourist can significantly increase the tourist' s tourism re-consumption behavior in the 5% confidence lev- el. The practical implications of this study suggest that tourism enterprises cart use the empirical results to discern specific market segment and make more targeted marketing strategy. Owing tourism re-consumption objects are of the diversity and complexity, the future research will focus on the other objects of tourism re-consumption and con- sider the consumer's own psychological factors, online social media and word of mouth' s impacts on tourism re-con- sumption.