CAJ | 학술논문

本文利用2000－2006年的海关数据，从企业出口的扩展和集约边际二元视角来对中国出口增长的动力进行分解与测算。结果发现：首先，中国的出口增长主要是依靠企业出口的集约边际扩张贡献的，而扩展边际对出口增长的贡献相对较弱。加入WTO对中国出口增长的促进效应主要是通过集约边际来实现的，而扩展边际的作用有限且呈现短暂性。其次，集约边际中存活率和深化率的差异是造成我国地区间出口增长差异的重要因素。中国出口关系的持续时间非常短，平均为1．9年，且越是欠发达地区的出口关系的持续时间越是短暂。最后，提升企业出口关系的存活率和深化率是促进欠发达地区出口增长的主要途径。
본문이용2000－2006년적해관수거，종기업출구적확전화집약변제이원시각래대중국출구증장적동력진행분해여측산。결과발현：수선，중국적출구증장주요시의고기업출구적집약변제확장공헌적，이확전변제대출구증장적공헌상대교약。가입WTO대중국출구증장적촉진효응주요시통과집약변제래실현적，이확전변제적작용유한차정현단잠성。기차，집약변제중존활솔화심화솔적차이시조성아국지구간출구증장차이적중요인소。중국출구관계적지속시간비상단，평균위1．9년，차월시흠발체지구적출구관계적지속시간월시단잠。최후，제승기업출구관계적존활솔화심화솔시촉진흠발체지구출구증장적주요도경。
Making use of 2000-2006 customs data, this paper decomposes and estimates exports from the two perspectives of enterprise expansion and intensive margin. The results show as follow. Firstly, China＇s export growth relies mainly on export expansion of intensive marginal contribution, but the expand margins which effect the export growth is relatively weak. Secondly, the intensive margin of difference in the rate of survival and deepening of China is caused by differences between regions important factor in export growth, the more economically developed coastal areas rely more intensive marginal rate of survival and deepening to promote export growth. Chinese exports of duration relations are very short, with an average of 1.9 years, and the more underdeveloped regions export more short duration of the relationship. Finally, the improvement of relationship between survival and deepe- ning export rate is to promote export growth in underdeveloped regions major route conclusions.