CAJ | 학술논문

本文从区域经济的视角，利用2005—2010年相关各省、自治区的面板数据，对中国东、中、西部区域人均碳排放量及其影响因素进行了协整和格兰杰因果关系检验。研究结果表明，东、中部区域的人均GDP、产业结构、能源效率、人均碳排放量之间存在协整关系，西部地区的人均GDP、能源效率、人均碳排放量之间存在协整关系；东、西部地区的人均GDP、产业结构、能源效率分别是人均碳排放量的格兰杰原因；中部地区的人均GDP、能源效率分别是人均碳排放量的格兰杰原因，且人均GDP与人均碳排放量具有双向格兰杰原因。从协整关系看，人均GDP、产业结构、能源效率对人均碳排放量的影响存在区域差异，据此文章最后给出了一些区域经济低碳发展的政策建议。
본문종구역경제적시각，이용2005—2010년상관각성、자치구적면판수거，대중국동、중、서부구역인균탄배방량급기영향인소진행료협정화격란걸인과관계검험。연구결과표명，동、중부구역적인균GDP、산업결구、능원효솔、인균탄배방량지간존재협정관계，서부지구적인균GDP、능원효솔、인균탄배방량지간존재협정관계；동、서부지구적인균GDP、산업결구、능원효솔분별시인균탄배방량적격란걸원인；중부지구적인균GDP、능원효솔분별시인균탄배방량적격란걸원인，차인균GDP여인균탄배방량구유쌍향격란걸원인。종협정관계간，인균GDP、산업결구、능원효솔대인균탄배방량적영향존재구역차이，거차문장최후급출료일사구역경제저탄발전적정책건의。
From the perspective of regional economy, the paper, using panel data of relevant provinces and autonomous regions during 2005 - 2010, tested eointegration and granger causality of per capita carbon emissions and its influence factors in the eastern, the central and the western region of China. The results showed that per capita GDP, industrial structure, energy efficiency and per capita carbon emissions in the eastern and the central region has a cointegration relatlottship. In the western region, per capita GDP, energy effi- ciency and per capita carbon emissions has a cointegrafion relationship. In the east and western region, per capita GDP, industrial struc- ture, and energy efficiency are granger causality of per capita carbon emissions respectively. In the central region, per capita GDP, and energy efticiency are granger causality of per capita carbon emissions respectively, and there is a two- way granger causality between per capita GDP and per capita carbon emissions. The results from the variable resression revealed that per capita GDP, industrial structure, energy efficiency have different influence on per capita carbon emissions in different regions respectively. On the basis of the above analysis, the paper finally gives some policy suggestions on low carbon development of regional economy.