经济评论
經濟評論
경제평론
Economic Review
2013年
5期
79~88
,共null页
积极竞争 消极合作 晋升博弈 推论验证
積極競爭 消極閤作 晉升博弈 推論驗證
적겁경쟁 소겁합작 진승박혁 추론험증
Positive Competition; Negative Cooperation; Political Tournaments; Inference Verification
本文以晋升博弈模型为基础,研究城市群内部核心城市之间的竞争与合作问题,提出了城市群内部“积极竞争,消极合作”的行为推论,并利用北京等8个城市的面板数据进行了实证检验。研究发现,在现有官员考核体制下,随着城市群内部竞争行为对本城市经济增长影响程度的提高,政府竞争趋于激烈;而随着城市群内部合作行为对其他城市经济增长影响程度的提高,政府合作更趋消极。因此,应当加强城市发展规划,提倡区域错位发展,同时改革现有考核体制,改变“唯GDP论”,逐步将民生、生态等指标纳入其中。
本文以晉升博弈模型為基礎,研究城市群內部覈心城市之間的競爭與閤作問題,提齣瞭城市群內部“積極競爭,消極閤作”的行為推論,併利用北京等8箇城市的麵闆數據進行瞭實證檢驗。研究髮現,在現有官員攷覈體製下,隨著城市群內部競爭行為對本城市經濟增長影響程度的提高,政府競爭趨于激烈;而隨著城市群內部閤作行為對其他城市經濟增長影響程度的提高,政府閤作更趨消極。因此,應噹加彊城市髮展規劃,提倡區域錯位髮展,同時改革現有攷覈體製,改變“唯GDP論”,逐步將民生、生態等指標納入其中。
본문이진승박혁모형위기출,연구성시군내부핵심성시지간적경쟁여합작문제,제출료성시군내부“적겁경쟁,소겁합작”적행위추론,병이용북경등8개성시적면판수거진행료실증검험。연구발현,재현유관원고핵체제하,수착성시군내부경쟁행위대본성시경제증장영향정도적제고,정부경쟁추우격렬;이수착성시군내부합작행위대기타성시경제증장영향정도적제고,정부합작경추소겁。인차,응당가강성시발전규화,제창구역착위발전,동시개혁현유고핵체제,개변“유GDP론”,축보장민생、생태등지표납입기중。
This paper uses the model of political tournaments to specify the nature of competition and cooperation among cities in urban agglomeration. We make a inference that cities are likely to compete fiercely and cooperate inactively with other cities in the same urban agglomeration. We test our derivation using the panel data with 8 cities over 11 - year. We find that,in the condition of existing system of performance metering, when competition with other cities in the same urban agglomeration will promote economic growth, the governments are likely to compete fiercely with one another, but when cooperation with other cities in the same urban agglomeration will promote economic growth, the governments are likely to cooperate with one another inactively. Thus,we suggest that local government should pay much attention to the planning of development of cities and engage in dislocation development. Meanwhile, the system of performance metering should be reformed with enhancing the weight of livelihood and ecosystem into the indicator systems.