CAJ | 학술논문

本文将东亚经济体按照1980—2011年间的人均GDP平均水平划分为发展中经济体与发达经济体，并分别对两组的面板数据进行了实证分析，验证库兹涅茨曲线关系的存在性。面板数据回归结果表明，无论是发展中经济体还是发达经济体，外商直接投资都具有CO2减排效应，但比较而言，外商直接投资在发达经济体的减排作用远大于发展中经济体；出口贸易的增加都会促进发展中经济体与发达经济体的CO2排放，但在发展中经济体贸易的碳增加强度高于发达经济体；研究还发现，发展中经济体不存在CO2排放与经济增长的倒U型关系，而库兹涅茨假说在发达经济体中成立。最后讨论了产生差异的原因，并提出了相应的建议。
본문장동아경제체안조1980—2011년간적인균GDP평균수평화분위발전중경제체여발체경제체，병분별대량조적면판수거진행료실증분석，험증고자열자곡선관계적존재성。면판수거회귀결과표명，무론시발전중경제체환시발체경제체，외상직접투자도구유CO2감배효응，단비교이언，외상직접투자재발체경제체적감배작용원대우발전중경제체；출구무역적증가도회촉진발전중경제체여발체경제체적CO2배방，단재발전중경제체무역적탄증가강도고우발체경제체；연구환발현，발전중경제체불존재CO2배방여경제증장적도U형관계，이고자열자가설재발체경제체중성립。최후토론료산생차이적원인，병제출료상응적건의。
According to average annual GDP per capita, this paper categoriz- es the East Asian economies in 1980-2011 into developing economies and developed economies, and conducts an empirical analysis on two sets of panel data to verify the validity of Kuznets curve relationship. The panel data regression re- suits show that both the developing and developed economies enjoy emission reduction effect with FID, but the effect is stronger for the developed economies than for the developing economies. Also found is that export trade can promote emissions in both economy categories, but the increased carbon intensity in the developing economies is higher than that in the developed economies. The study also finds there is not an inverted U-shaped relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions in developing economies, while this Kuznets hypothesis is valid in the developed economies. This paper concludes by discussing the causes of the difference and accordingly proposes suggestions.