系统工程理论与实践
繫統工程理論與實踐
계통공정이론여실천
Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice
2013年
10期
2486~2496
,共null页
李绩才 周永务 钟远光 郭金森
李績纔 週永務 鐘遠光 郭金森
리적재 주영무 종원광 곽금삼
季节性商品 谱风险测度 期权契约 订购策略
季節性商品 譜風險測度 期權契約 訂購策略
계절성상품 보풍험측도 기권계약 정구책략
seasonal products; spectrum risk measure; option contract; ordering strategies
以一个经销季节性商品的零售商为研究对象,通过弓l入考虑零售商风险态度的谱风险测度,分析了期权契约机制下具有不同风险偏好零售商的最优订购策略.通过建立期权契约机制下基于零售商谱风险测度的商品订购决策模型,分析得出零售商的最优现货订购量和期权订购量存在并且唯一;并进一步结合均值-CVaR风险谱函数,研究了在此风险测度下不同风险偏好零售商的具体订购策略,揭示了零售商风险态度、期权契约等对其最优订购策略的影响;最后通过数值实例对模型的求解过程和理论结果进行了验证分析.
以一箇經銷季節性商品的零售商為研究對象,通過弓l入攷慮零售商風險態度的譜風險測度,分析瞭期權契約機製下具有不同風險偏好零售商的最優訂購策略.通過建立期權契約機製下基于零售商譜風險測度的商品訂購決策模型,分析得齣零售商的最優現貨訂購量和期權訂購量存在併且唯一;併進一步結閤均值-CVaR風險譜函數,研究瞭在此風險測度下不同風險偏好零售商的具體訂購策略,揭示瞭零售商風險態度、期權契約等對其最優訂購策略的影響;最後通過數值實例對模型的求解過程和理論結果進行瞭驗證分析.
이일개경소계절성상품적령수상위연구대상,통과궁l입고필령수상풍험태도적보풍험측도,분석료기권계약궤제하구유불동풍험편호령수상적최우정구책략.통과건립기권계약궤제하기우령수상보풍험측도적상품정구결책모형,분석득출령수상적최우현화정구량화기권정구량존재병차유일;병진일보결합균치-CVaR풍험보함수,연구료재차풍험측도하불동풍험편호령수상적구체정구책략,게시료령수상풍험태도、기권계약등대기최우정구책략적영향;최후통과수치실례대모형적구해과정화이론결과진행료험증분석.
Traditional ordering decisions for seasonal products often focus on minimizing expected cost or maximizing expected profits, which assume decision makers to be risk neutral. In this paper, we incorporate retailer's different risk attitudes by means of spectrum risk measure into the ordering decision model for seasonal products, and discuss the optimal ordering decisions of the retailer under the option contract mechanism. We show that the optimal ordering quantities of cash commodity and option commodity are existent and unique, and then analyze the specific ordering strategy of the retailer who has different risk preferences through the mean-CVaR risk spectrum function. The effects of the retailer's risk attitude, and the price parameters of option contract on the optimal ordering decisions are also analyzed. Finally, we illustrate our theoretical results by some numerical examples.