商业经济与管理
商業經濟與管理
상업경제여관리
Business Economics and Administration
2013年
9期
78~86
,共null页
宏观审慎 货币政策 风险承担行为 动态面板数据模型
宏觀審慎 貨幣政策 風險承擔行為 動態麵闆數據模型
굉관심신 화폐정책 풍험승담행위 동태면판수거모형
macro prudential; monetary policy; risk-taking behavior; dynamic panel data model
国际金融危机的爆发引发了理论界对货币政策是否影响银行体系稳定问题的更为广泛的关注。文章基于异质性视角构建动态面板数据模型对货币政策与银行风险承担行为之间的关系进行估计,研究结果表明:2003-2011年,货币政策变量对银行风险偏好的影响具有时滞性,贷款利率提高有助于抑制银行风险,货币供应量增加会刺激银行更加冒险;不同银行对货币政策冲击会做出异质反应,随着资本充足率的提高,货币政策对银行风险承担行为的影响效果减弱。因此,加强中国人民银行在宏观审慎监管中的主导作用、建立逆周期的货币政策和资本监管协调机制是后金融危机时代我国监管当局的重要议题。
國際金融危機的爆髮引髮瞭理論界對貨幣政策是否影響銀行體繫穩定問題的更為廣汎的關註。文章基于異質性視角構建動態麵闆數據模型對貨幣政策與銀行風險承擔行為之間的關繫進行估計,研究結果錶明:2003-2011年,貨幣政策變量對銀行風險偏好的影響具有時滯性,貸款利率提高有助于抑製銀行風險,貨幣供應量增加會刺激銀行更加冒險;不同銀行對貨幣政策遲擊會做齣異質反應,隨著資本充足率的提高,貨幣政策對銀行風險承擔行為的影響效果減弱。因此,加彊中國人民銀行在宏觀審慎鑑管中的主導作用、建立逆週期的貨幣政策和資本鑑管協調機製是後金融危機時代我國鑑管噹跼的重要議題。
국제금융위궤적폭발인발료이론계대화폐정책시부영향은행체계은정문제적경위엄범적관주。문장기우이질성시각구건동태면판수거모형대화폐정책여은행풍험승담행위지간적관계진행고계,연구결과표명:2003-2011년,화폐정책변량대은행풍험편호적영향구유시체성,대관리솔제고유조우억제은행풍험,화폐공응량증가회자격은행경가모험;불동은행대화폐정책충격회주출이질반응,수착자본충족솔적제고,화폐정책대은행풍험승담행위적영향효과감약。인차,가강중국인민은행재굉관심신감관중적주도작용、건립역주기적화폐정책화자본감관협조궤제시후금융위궤시대아국감관당국적중요의제。
Lots of attention has been paid to whether monetary policy can influence banking system stability in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. By using a dynamic panel data model, this paper analyzes how monetary policy affect bank risk taking based on the perspective of heterogeneity. The results show that the impact of monetary policy variables on bank's risk preference exhibits strong time lag from 2003 to 2011; high lending rate would inhibit bank risk; but the increasing of money supply would stimulate greater risk-taking. The distributional effects of monetary policy on bank risk-taking due to individual bank characteristics revealed that the impact of monetary policy on risk assets was diminished for banks with higher capital adequacy. Therefore, how to strengthen the leading role of the central bank in macro prudential management and construct coordination mechanism between the countercyclical monetary policy and capital regulation becomes a key issue of the Chinese regulatory authorities in the post-financial crisis era.