中国科技论坛
中國科技論罈
중국과기론단
Forum on Science and Technology in China
2013年
11期
137~143
,共null页
王众 匡建超 庞河清 霍志磊
王衆 劻建超 龐河清 霍誌磊
왕음 광건초 방하청 곽지뢰
碳捕捉与封存(CCS) 系统动力学 深部盐水层 学习曲线 评价
碳捕捉與封存(CCS) 繫統動力學 深部鹽水層 學習麯線 評價
탄포착여봉존(CCS) 계통동역학 심부염수층 학습곡선 평개
Carbon capture and storage (CCS) ; System dynamics; Deep saline formation (DSF) ; Learning curve; Assessment
本文以超临界燃煤电厂排放的深部盐水层封存作为我国主要的CCS实施方案,从一体化的角度运用系统动力学方法对该方案进行建模与分析。模型综合考虑了CCS的减排效果、能耗和经济效益,理清了CSS系统要素之间的相互影响关系和反馈机制。仿真结果表明该方案可以减排电厂总排放量的80%以上,但减排成本高达66.81元/吨,同时消耗煤炭0.0905吨。在此基础上进一步分析了碳交易价格和技术进步对CCS的影响,结果表明:若无碳交易机制支持,CCS单位减排成本将增加52%。
本文以超臨界燃煤電廠排放的深部鹽水層封存作為我國主要的CCS實施方案,從一體化的角度運用繫統動力學方法對該方案進行建模與分析。模型綜閤攷慮瞭CCS的減排效果、能耗和經濟效益,理清瞭CSS繫統要素之間的相互影響關繫和反饋機製。倣真結果錶明該方案可以減排電廠總排放量的80%以上,但減排成本高達66.81元/噸,同時消耗煤炭0.0905噸。在此基礎上進一步分析瞭碳交易價格和技術進步對CCS的影響,結果錶明:若無碳交易機製支持,CCS單位減排成本將增加52%。
본문이초림계연매전엄배방적심부염수층봉존작위아국주요적CCS실시방안,종일체화적각도운용계통동역학방법대해방안진행건모여분석。모형종합고필료CCS적감배효과、능모화경제효익,리청료CSS계통요소지간적상호영향관계화반궤궤제。방진결과표명해방안가이감배전엄총배방량적80%이상,단감배성본고체66.81원/둔,동시소모매탄0.0905둔。재차기출상진일보분석료탄교역개격화기술진보대CCS적영향,결과표명:약무탄교역궤제지지,CCS단위감배성본장증가52%。
This paper designs a CCS implementation scheming for China which takes super-critical pulverized coal power plant as the emission source and takes deep saline formation as the storage option, and uses system dynamic methodology to modeling and analyzing the scheme. This model takes mitigation effect, extra energy consumption and economic benefits into account, and also figures out the influence of each element and feedback mechanism in CCS system. The simulation results showed that this scheme can reduce 80% of the CO2emitted by power plant, but the capital mitigation cost is high which has reached 66. 81 yuan and consumed extra O. 0905 tons of coal. Based on that, a further analysis is made to investigate the impact of carbon trading price and technology progress on CCS. The results showed that without the support of carbon trading system, the capital mitigation cost would increase by 52%.